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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 31 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 11
  3. 18
  4. 24
  5. 26
  6. 33
  7. 4
  8. 22

Jackpot€1,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,691 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-07-30All recent draws2023-08-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 11 18 24 26 33 + 4 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

42oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.

  • sum19th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread8th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 452 of each

9444times
11436times
18467times
24461times
26

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-31

  • Lines in play≈ 5.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.6Mto 96k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.40

Where the money went

  • 674%€1.9M
  • 5+C5.4%€141.5K
  • 314%€363.1K
  • 2 other tiers6.8%€176.8K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.40 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

443times
33471times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,690 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (9, 11, 26, 33) with the draw of 8 February 2020 — its closest relative in 3,690 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

121

The numbers add up to 121 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€960,247
  • 5+C1≈ 4.8 by chance€141,464
  • 5100≈ 98 by chance€707
  • 45,219≈ 5.4k by chance€20.33
  • 390,777≈ 99k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 90,777 winners, 8% fewer than the 99k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€960,247
    5+C1€141,464
    5100€707
    45,219€20.33
    390,777€4.00
    R0€0.50