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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 30 July 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 17
  4. 27
  5. 34
  6. 40
  7. 9
  8. 23

Jackpot€1,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,690 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-07-29All recent draws2023-07-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 17 27 34 40 + 9 2329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 July 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

77oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 77 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.

  • sum21th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 452 of each

2456times
3443times
17425times
27471times
34

Prize breakdown · 2023-07-30

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€539.6Kto 70k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€121.4K
  • 417%€91.1K
  • 349%€266.4K
  • 1 other tier11%€60.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

451times
40489times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,689 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 3, 17, 40) with the draw of 13 November 2021 — its closest relative in 3,689 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 July 2023): 2, 40 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

123

The numbers add up to 123 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 21 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.5 by chance
€121,446
  • 558≈ 72 by chance€1,047
  • 43,420≈ 4.0k by chance€26.63
  • 366,596≈ 72k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,420 winners, 14% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€121,446
    558€1,047
    43,420€26.63
    366,596€4.00
    R0€0.50