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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 1 August 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 13
  4. 15
  5. 23
  6. 27
  7. 4
  8. 22

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,692 of 4,855 under them

← 2023-07-31All recent draws2023-08-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 13 15 23 27 + 4 2229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 August 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

15oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 15 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.

  • sum4th
  • odd99th
  • low94th
  • widest gap5th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 452 of each

5443times
11437times
13447times
15439times
23

Prize breakdown · 2023-08-01

  • Lines in play≈ 6.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€936.0Kto 106k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.44

Where the money went

  • 632%€296.2K
  • 5+C12%€107.7K
  • 342%€397.4K
  • 2 other tiers14%€134.7K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.44 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

441times
27472times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,691 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (5, 13, 23, 27) with the draw of 18 March 2023 — its closest relative in 3,691 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 July 2023): 11 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

94

The numbers add up to 94 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 21% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€148,117
  • 5+C3≈ 5.2 by chance€35,907
  • 5195≈ 108 by chance€276
  • 46,569≈ 5.9k by chance€12.30
  • 399,353≈ 108k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,569 winners, 11% more than the 5.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    62€148,117
    5+C3€35,907
    5195€276
    46,569€12.30
    399,353€4.00
    R0€0.50