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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 15 May 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 20
  3. 24
  4. 42
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 6
  8. 41

Jackpot€500,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,614 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-05-14All recent draws2023-05-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 20 24 42 44 45 + 6 4129 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 47% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread16th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 442 of each

17417times
20462times
24452times
42447times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€563.3Kto 71k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€129.8K
  • 417%€97.3K
  • 348%€271.3K
  • 1 other tier12%€64.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

426times
45465times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,613 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 20, 42, 45) with the draw of 11 June 2021 — its closest relative in 3,613 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 May 2023): 17, 24 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

192

The numbers add up to 192 — the 89th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 49% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
2≈ 3.6 by chance
€64,896
  • 553≈ 73 by chance€1,224
  • 43,380≈ 4.0k by chance€28.80
  • 367,828≈ 74k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,380 winners, 16% fewer than the 4.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€64,896
    553€1,224
    43,380€28.80
    367,828€4.00
    R0€0.50