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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Sunday, 14 May 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 21
  3. 24
  4. 31
  5. 33
  6. 49
  7. 9
  8. 36

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,613 of 4,857 under them

← 2023-05-13All recent draws2023-05-15 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 21 24 31 33 49 + 9 3629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 442 of each

17416times
21454times
24451times
31438times
33

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€503.1Kto 68k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€108.3K
  • 416%€81.3K
  • 352%€259.3K
  • 1 other tier11%€54.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.29 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

462times
49454times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,612 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 5 of 6 numbers (17, 21, 24, 33, 49) with the draw of 14 February 2011 — its closest relative in 3,612 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 6.5% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2023): 24, 49 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.4 by chance
€108,344
  • 574≈ 70 by chance€732
  • 43,542≈ 3.9k by chance€22.94
  • 364,822≈ 70k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,542 winners, 8% fewer than the 3.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€108,344
    574€732
    43,542€22.94
    364,822€4.00
    R0€0.50