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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 16 May 2023

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 19
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 7
  8. 47

Jackpot€900,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 3,615 of 4,854 under them

← 2023-05-15All recent draws2023-05-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 19 25 26 44 45 + 7 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 May 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.

  • sum74th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread29th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 443 of each

13435times
19445times
25455times
26431times
44

Prize breakdown · 2023-05-16

  • Lines in play≈ 5.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.7Mto 92k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 63 winnerschance said 0.38

Where the money went

  • 661%€1.1M
  • 513%€215.7K
  • 320%€349.1K
  • 1 other tier6.3%€107.9K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 63≈ 0.38 by chance€350,110

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

427times
45466times

Every number was expected about that many times after 3,614 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (25, 26, 44, 45) with the draw of 5 February 2021 — its closest relative in 3,614 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 May 2023): 44, 45 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

172

The numbers add up to 172 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26, 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

19 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C0≈ 4.6 by chanceno winners
  • 596≈ 94 by chance€2,247
  • 44,623≈ 5.2k by chance€23.33
  • 387,282≈ 95k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 4,623 winners, 11% fewer than the 5.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    63€350,110
    5+C0€0.00
    596€2,247
    44,623€23.33
    387,282€4.00
    R0€0.50