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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Thursday, 22 November 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 12
  3. 16
  4. 37
  5. 44
  6. 46
  7. 7
  8. 49

Jackpot€1,100,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,239 of 4,857 under them

← 2018-11-21All recent draws2018-11-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 12 16 37 44 46 + 7 4929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

64oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 64 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum66th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap85th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 274 of each

9267times
12273times
16277times
37267times
44

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-22

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€648.3Kto 72k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.30

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€163.2K
  • 420%€129.2K
  • 342%€274.3K
  • 1 other tier13%€81.6K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.30 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

260times
46272times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,238 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (9, 16, 46) with the draw of 6 November 2018 — its closest relative in 2,238 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (21 November 2018): 16 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

164

The numbers add up to 164 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 44% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.6 by chance
€163,177
  • 558≈ 74 by chance€1,407
  • 43,577≈ 4.1k by chance€36.11
  • 368,582≈ 74k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,577 winners, 12% fewer than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€163,177
    558€1,407
    43,577€36.11
    368,582€4.00
    R0€0.50