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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 23 November 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 25
  4. 26
  5. 33
  6. 44
  7. 1
  8. 6

Jackpot€1,400,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,240 of 4,857 under them

← 2018-11-22All recent draws2018-11-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 25 26 33 44 + 1 629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

87oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 87 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.

  • sum46th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 274 of each

8261times
11276times
25286times
26265times
33

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-23

  • Lines in play≈ 5.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€775.1Kto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.41

Where the money went

  • 5+C23%€174.4K
  • 418%€138.1K
  • 348%€375.3K
  • 1 other tier11%€87.2K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.41 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

280times
44261times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,239 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (8, 11, 33, 44) with the draw of 14 September 2018 — its closest relative in 2,239 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 November 2018): 44 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

147

The numbers add up to 147 — the 46th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 25–26. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

33 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 41% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 5.0 by chance
€174,447
  • 5143≈ 102 by chance€610
  • 45,660≈ 5.6k by chance€24.40
  • 393,823≈ 102k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 93,823 winners, 8% fewer than the 102k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€174,447
    5143€610
    45,660€24.40
    393,823€4.00
    R0€0.50