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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 21 November 2018

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 16
  3. 18
  4. 29
  5. 35
  6. 48
  7. 9
  8. 17

Jackpot€800,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 2,238 of 4,857 under them

← 2018-11-20All recent draws2018-11-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 16 18 29 35 48 + 9 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 November 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap42th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread95th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 274 of each

2293times
16276times
18271times
29257times
35

Prize breakdown · 2018-11-21

  • Lines in play≈ 4.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€673.8Kto 77k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.32

Where the money went

  • 5+C26%€172K
  • 418%€124.6K
  • 343%€291.1K
  • 1 other tier13%€86K
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.32 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

271times
48270times

Every number was expected about that many times after 2,237 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (2, 18, 29, 48) with the draw of 28 June 2018 — its closest relative in 2,237 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 November 2018): 35 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

148

The numbers add up to 148 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 43% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
1≈ 3.8 by chance
€172,039
  • 564≈ 79 by chance€1,344
  • 43,865≈ 4.3k by chance€32.24
  • 372,776≈ 79k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈4.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 3,865 winners, 11% fewer than the 4.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C1€172,039
    564€1,344
    43,865€32.24
    372,776€4.00
    R0€0.50