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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Friday, 30 December 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 15
  2. 17
  3. 26
  4. 30
  5. 38
  6. 41
  7. 6
  8. 45

Jackpot€997,529

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 417 of 4,855 under them

← 2011-12-28All recent draws2012-01-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 17 26 30 38 41 + 6 4529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum69th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap8th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread11th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

1546times
1756times
2657times
3054times
38

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-30

  • Lines in play≈ 6.9Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.49

Where the money went

  • 5+C25%€264.0K
  • 420%€209.0K
  • 343%€448.5K
  • 1 other tier13%€132.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.49 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

52times
4149times

Every number was expected about that many times after 416 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (15, 26, 41) with the draw of 12 October 2011 — its closest relative in 416 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 December 2011): 15 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

167

The numbers add up to 167 — the 69th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
3≈ 5.9 by chance
€88,013
  • 578≈ 121 by chance€1,693
  • 45,751≈ 6.7k by chance€36.35
  • 3112,137≈ 122k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,751 winners, 14% fewer than the 6.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C3€88,013
    578€1,693
    45,751€36.35
    3112,137€4.00
    R0€0.50