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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 28 December 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 15
  3. 22
  4. 46
  5. 48
  6. 49
  7. 6
  8. 12

Jackpot€620,761

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 416 of 4,855 under them

← 2011-12-27All recent draws2011-12-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 15 22 46 48 49 + 6 1229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 December 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

63oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum90th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread47th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

1350times
1545times
2253times
4644times
48

Prize breakdown · 2011-12-28

  • Lines in play≈ 7.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€926.4Kto 124k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.51

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€200.9K
  • 417%€159.1K
  • 350%€466.0K
  • 1 other tier11%€100.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.51 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

50times
4967times

Every number was expected about that many times after 415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 48, 49) with the draw of 26 July 2011 — its closest relative in 415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

193

The numbers add up to 193 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 40% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C2≈ 6.2 by chance€100,471
  • 5147≈ 126 by chance€683
  • 46,880≈ 6.9k by chance€23.12
  • 3116,489≈ 127k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 116,489 winners, 8% fewer than the 127k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€100,471
    5147€683
    46,880€23.12
    3116,489€4.00
    R0€0.50