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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 2 January 2012

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 14
  3. 32
  4. 45
  5. 48
  6. 49
  7. 6
  8. 42

Jackpot€1,492,602

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 418 of 4,855 under them

← 2011-12-30All recent draws2012-01-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 14 32 45 48 49 + 6 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd48th
  • low20th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

942times
1451times
3263times
4553times
48

Prize breakdown · 2012-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€2.8Mto 110k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 59lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.46

Where the money went

  • 668%€1.9M
  • 511%€320.4K
  • 315%€416.7K
  • 1 other tier6.0%€169.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.46 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

51times
4968times

Every number was expected about that many times after 417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (14, 48, 49) with the draw of 15 July 2011 — its closest relative in 417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 December 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

197

The numbers add up to 197 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 48% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,893,119
  • 5+C0≈ 5.5 by chanceno winners
  • 592≈ 113 by chance€3,483
  • 45,276≈ 6.2k by chance€32.05
  • 3104,182≈ 113k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈6.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,276 winners, 15% fewer than the 6.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    61€1,893,119
    5+C0€0.00
    592€3,483
    45,276€32.05
    3104,182€4.00
    R0€0.50