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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Tuesday, 11 January 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 22
  2. 25
  3. 28
  4. 30
  5. 42
  6. 49
  7. 5
  8. 46

Jackpot€1,667,865

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 215 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-01-10All recent draws2011-01-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed22 25 28 30 42 49 + 5 4629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

38oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.

  • sum92th
  • odd20th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread14th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

2230times
2534times
2828times
3027times
42

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-11

  • Lines in play≈ 7.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 128k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.53

Where the money went

  • 5+C24%€265.8K
  • 419%€210.4K
  • 344%€486.4K
  • 1 other tier12%€132.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.53 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
4936times

Every number was expected about that many times after 214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (22, 25, 28, 30) with the draw of 24 August 2010 — its closest relative in 214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 January 2011): 25, 28 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

196

The numbers add up to 196 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C2≈ 6.4 by chance€132,880
  • 5116≈ 132 by chance€1,146
  • 46,263≈ 7.2k by chance€33.59
  • 3121,588≈ 132k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 6,263 winners, 14% fewer than the 7.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€132,880
    5116€1,146
    46,263€33.59
    3121,588€4.00
    R0€0.50