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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Monday, 10 January 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 13
  3. 15
  4. 25
  5. 28
  6. 32
  7. 8
  8. 44

Jackpot€1,248,343

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 214 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-01-07All recent draws2011-01-11 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 13 15 25 28 32 + 8 4429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum23th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap13th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

1219times
1322times
1520times
2533times
28

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-10

  • Lines in play≈ 8.7Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.1Mto 150k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.62

Where the money went

  • 5+C21%€223.7K
  • 416%€177.2K
  • 352%€566.4K
  • 1 other tier10%€111.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.62 by chanceno winners

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

27times
3232times

Every number was expected about that many times after 213 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (12, 15, 28) with the draw of 10 December 2010 — its closest relative in 213 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 January 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

125

The numbers add up to 125 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
  • 5+C2≈ 7.5 by chance€111,873
  • 5142≈ 153 by chance€788
  • 48,130≈ 8.4k by chance€21.79
  • 3141,605≈ 154k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈8.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 141,605 winners, 8% fewer than the 154k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C2€111,873
    5142€788
    48,130€21.79
    3141,605€4.00
    R0€0.50