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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Bonoloto · draw

Wednesday, 12 January 2011

ResultBonoloto

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 8
  3. 9
  4. 14
  5. 17
  6. 21
  7. 2
  8. 35

Jackpot€2,166,165

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 2/49 · since Jan 2010draw 216 of 4,854 under them

← 2011-01-11All recent draws2011-01-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 8 9 14 17 21 + 2 3529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

20oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 20 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum1th
  • odd77th
  • low99th
  • widest gap3th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread3th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

116times
829times
921times
1425times
17

Prize breakdown · 2011-01-12

  • Lines in play≈ 9.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€1.2Mto 160k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.66

Where the money went

  • 5+C22%€263.9K
  • 417%€209.0K
  • 350%€604.1K
  • 1 other tier11%€132.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100kPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.66 by chanceno winners
  2. 5+C

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

29times
2133times

Every number was expected about that many times after 215 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (1, 8, 14, 21) with the draw of 19 March 2010 — its closest relative in 215 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 19% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 January 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

70

The numbers add up to 70 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 8–9. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
4≈ 8.0 by chance
€65,979
  • 5174≈ 163 by chance€758
  • 48,787≈ 9.0k by chance€23.78
  • 3151,020≈ 164k by chance€4.00
  • R0€0.50
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈9.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 151,020 winners, 8% fewer than the 164k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    60€0.00
    5+C4€65,979
    5174€758
    48,787€23.78
    3151,020€4.00
    R0€0.50