Spiel 77 · every number
3
Number 3 In Spiel 77 under the 7/9 · since Sep 2024 rules — 213 draws, 7 from 0–9.
142 times drawn · chance expected 149 −1.06σ
2 draws waiting · a wait this long: 30% for any number
1.5 average wait between appearances · chance says 1.4
7 longest completed wait · 10% chance of one at least that long
3 is drawn as often as chance explains Drawn 142 times in 213 draws against 149.1 expected, −1.06σ. Each draw is independent: after 2 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
3 Number 3, draw by draw Drawn 142 times in 213 draws · average wait 1.5 draws · longest completed wait 7 · waiting 2 draws now
1 draws: 2024-09-25 to 2024-09-28 1 draws: 2024-09-28 to 2024-10-02 0 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-02 4 draws: 2024-10-02 to 2024-10-16 1 draws: 2024-10-16 to 2024-10-19 1 draws: 2024-10-19 to 2024-10-23 1 draws: 2024-10-23 to 2024-10-26 2 draws: 2024-10-26 to 2024-11-02 0 draws: 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-02 1 draws: 2024-11-02 to 2024-11-06 1 draws: 2024-11-06 to 2024-11-09 1 draws: 2024-11-09 to 2024-11-13 1 draws: 2024-11-13 to 2024-11-16 2 draws: 2024-11-16 to 2024-11-23 0 draws: 2024-11-23 to 2024-11-23 1 draws: 2024-11-23 to 2024-11-27 1 draws: 2024-11-27 to 2024-11-30 3 draws: 2024-11-30 to 2024-12-11 0 draws: 2024-12-11 to 2024-12-11 4 draws: 2024-12-11 to 2024-12-25 4 draws: 2024-12-25 to 2025-01-08 1 draws: 2025-01-08 to 2025-01-11 0 draws: 2025-01-11 to 2025-01-11 2 draws: 2025-01-11 to 2025-01-18 0 draws: 2025-01-18 to 2025-01-18 2 draws: 2025-01-18 to 2025-01-25 2 draws: 2025-01-25 to 2025-02-01 1 draws: 2025-02-01 to 2025-02-05 0 draws: 2025-02-05 to 2025-02-05 4 draws: 2025-02-05 to 2025-02-19 0 draws: 2025-02-19 to 2025-02-19 0 draws: 2025-02-19 to 2025-02-19 1 draws: 2025-02-19 to 2025-02-22 2 draws: 2025-02-22 to 2025-03-01 1 draws: 2025-03-01 to 2025-03-05 2 draws: 2025-03-05 to 2025-03-12 4 draws: 2025-03-12 to 2025-03-26 1 draws: 2025-03-26 to 2025-03-29 0 draws: 2025-03-29 to 2025-03-29 5 draws: 2025-03-29 to 2025-04-16 4 draws: 2025-04-16 to 2025-04-30 1 draws: 2025-04-30 to 2025-05-03 1 draws: 2025-05-03 to 2025-05-07 0 draws: 2025-05-07 to 2025-05-07 1 draws: 2025-05-07 to 2025-05-10 1 draws: 2025-05-10 to 2025-05-14 0 draws: 2025-05-14 to 2025-05-14 1 draws: 2025-05-14 to 2025-05-17 1 draws: 2025-05-17 to 2025-05-21 3 draws: 2025-05-21 to 2025-05-31 0 draws: 2025-05-31 to 2025-05-31 3 draws: 2025-05-31 to 2025-06-11 2 draws: 2025-06-11 to 2025-06-18 0 draws: 2025-06-18 to 2025-06-18 1 draws: 2025-06-18 to 2025-06-21 0 draws: 2025-06-21 to 2025-06-21 1 draws: 2025-06-21 to 2025-06-25 1 draws: 2025-06-25 to 2025-06-28 7 draws: 2025-06-28 to 2025-07-23 0 draws: 2025-07-23 to 2025-07-23 3 draws: 2025-07-23 to 2025-08-02 0 draws: 2025-08-02 to 2025-08-02 1 draws: 2025-08-02 to 2025-08-06 4 draws: 2025-08-06 to 2025-08-20 1 draws: 2025-08-20 to 2025-08-23 3 draws: 2025-08-23 to 2025-09-03 1 draws: 2025-09-03 to 2025-09-06 4 draws: 2025-09-06 to 2025-09-20 1 draws: 2025-09-20 to 2025-09-24 1 draws: 2025-09-24 to 2025-09-27 1 draws: 2025-09-27 to 2025-10-01 0 draws: 2025-10-01 to 2025-10-01 1 draws: 2025-10-01 to 2025-10-04 0 draws: 2025-10-04 to 2025-10-04 4 draws: 2025-10-04 to 2025-10-18 2 draws: 2025-10-18 to 2025-10-25 0 draws: 2025-10-25 to 2025-10-25 1 draws: 2025-10-25 to 2025-10-29 0 draws: 2025-10-29 to 2025-10-29 2 draws: 2025-10-29 to 2025-11-05 1 draws: 2025-11-05 to 2025-11-08 0 draws: 2025-11-08 to 2025-11-08 2 draws: 2025-11-08 to 2025-11-19 3 draws: 2025-11-19 to 2025-11-29 1 draws: 2025-11-29 to 2025-12-03 1 draws: 2025-12-03 to 2025-12-06 2 draws: 2025-12-06 to 2025-12-13 3 draws: 2025-12-13 to 2025-12-24 5 draws: 2025-12-24 to 2026-01-10 1 draws: 2026-01-10 to 2026-01-14 2 draws: 2026-01-14 to 2026-01-21 0 draws: 2026-01-21 to 2026-01-21 1 draws: 2026-01-21 to 2026-01-24 1 draws: 2026-01-24 to 2026-01-28 7 draws: 2026-01-28 to 2026-02-21 4 draws: 2026-02-21 to 2026-03-07 2 draws: 2026-03-07 to 2026-03-14 1 draws: 2026-03-14 to 2026-03-18 1 draws: 2026-03-18 to 2026-03-21 1 draws: 2026-03-21 to 2026-03-25 3 draws: 2026-03-25 to 2026-04-04 2 draws: 2026-04-04 to 2026-04-11 1 draws: 2026-04-11 to 2026-04-15 0 draws: 2026-04-15 to 2026-04-15 6 draws: 2026-04-15 to 2026-05-06 1 draws: 2026-05-06 to 2026-05-09 2 draws: 2026-05-09 to 2026-05-16 0 draws: 2026-05-16 to 2026-05-16 2 draws: 2026-05-16 to 2026-05-23 2 draws: 2026-05-23 to 2026-05-30 0 draws: 2026-05-30 to 2026-05-30 3 draws: 2026-05-30 to 2026-06-10 1 draws: 2026-06-10 to 2026-06-13 1 draws: 2026-06-13 to 2026-06-17 2 draws: 2026-06-17 to 2026-06-24 0 draws: 2026-06-24 to 2026-06-24 1 draws: 2026-06-24 to 2026-06-27 0 draws: 2026-06-27 to 2026-06-27 0 draws: 2026-06-27 to 2026-06-27 1 draws: 2026-06-27 to 2026-07-01 1 draws: 2026-07-01 to 2026-07-04 4 draws: 2026-07-04 to 2026-07-18 3 draws: 2026-07-18 to 2026-07-29 0 draws: 2026-07-29 to 2026-07-29 2 draws: 2026-07-29 to 2026-08-05 0 draws: 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-05 1 draws: 2026-08-05 to 2026-08-08 5 draws: 2026-08-08 to 2026-08-26 2 draws: 2026-08-26 to 2026-09-02 0 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-02 0 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-02 3 draws: 2026-09-02 to 2026-09-12 0 draws: 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-12 0 draws: 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-12 2 draws: 2026-09-12 to 2026-09-19 1 draws: 2026-09-19 to 2026-09-23 0 draws: 2026-09-23 to 2026-09-23 1 draws: 2026-09-23 to 2026-09-26 0 draws: 2026-09-26 to 2026-09-26 1 draws: 2026-09-26 to 2026-09-30 1 draws: 2026-09-30 to 2026-10-03 Still waiting — at least 2 draws since 2026-10-03 2024-09-25 2024-09-28 2024-10-02 2024-10-02 2024-10-16 2024-10-19 2024-10-23 2024-10-26 2024-11-02 2024-11-02 2024-11-06 2024-11-09 2024-11-13 2024-11-16 2024-11-23 2024-11-23 2024-11-27 2024-11-30 2024-12-11 2024-12-11 2024-12-25 2025-01-08 2025-01-11 2025-01-11 2025-01-18 2025-01-18 2025-01-25 2025-02-01 2025-02-05 2025-02-05 2025-02-19 2025-02-19 2025-02-19 2025-02-22 2025-03-01 2025-03-05 2025-03-12 2025-03-26 2025-03-29 2025-03-29 2025-04-16 2025-04-30 2025-05-03 2025-05-07 2025-05-07 2025-05-10 2025-05-14 2025-05-14 2025-05-17 2025-05-21 2025-05-31 2025-05-31 2025-06-11 2025-06-18 2025-06-18 2025-06-21 2025-06-21 2025-06-25 2025-06-28 2025-07-23 2025-07-23 2025-08-02 2025-08-02 2025-08-06 2025-08-20 2025-08-23 2025-09-03 2025-09-06 2025-09-20 2025-09-24 2025-09-27 2025-10-01 2025-10-01 2025-10-04 2025-10-04 2025-10-18 2025-10-25 2025-10-25 2025-10-29 2025-10-29 2025-11-05 2025-11-08 2025-11-08 2025-11-19 2025-11-29 2025-12-03 2025-12-06 2025-12-13 2025-12-24 2026-01-10 2026-01-14 2026-01-21 2026-01-21 2026-01-24 2026-01-28 2026-02-21 2026-03-07 2026-03-14 2026-03-18 2026-03-21 2026-03-25 2026-04-04 2026-04-11 2026-04-15 2026-04-15 2026-05-06 2026-05-09 2026-05-16 2026-05-16 2026-05-23 2026-05-30 2026-05-30 2026-06-10 2026-06-13 2026-06-17 2026-06-24 2026-06-24 2026-06-27 2026-06-27 2026-06-27 2026-07-01 2026-07-04 2026-07-18 2026-07-29 2026-07-29 2026-08-05 2026-08-05 2026-08-08 2026-08-26 2026-09-02 2026-09-02 2026-09-02 2026-09-12 2026-09-12 2026-09-12 2026-09-19 2026-09-23 2026-09-23 2026-09-26 2026-09-26 2026-09-30 2026-10-03 2024-09-25 2026-10-10 a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
1 draws: 54 times 2 draws: 22 times 3 draws: 11 times 4 draws: 11 times 5 draws: 3 times 6 draws: 1 time 7 draws: 2 times 8 draws: 0 times 9 draws: 0 times 10 draws: 0 times 11 draws: 0 times 12 draws: 0 times 13 draws: 0 times 14 draws: 0 times 15 draws: 0 times 16 draws: 0 times 17 draws: 0 times 18 draws: 0 times 19 draws: 0 times 20 draws: 0 times 21 draws: 0 times 22 draws: 0 times 23 draws: 0 times 24 draws: 0 times its own waits draws between appearances Where it lands in a sorted draw Sort a draw and 3 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
1st smallest 24 · chance 1.7 2nd smallest 39 · chance 30.4 3rd smallest 51 · chance 76.1 4th smallest 21 · chance 33.8 5th smallest 7 · chance 0.0 6th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 7th smallest 0 · chance 0.0 Every position’s lane →
The company it keeps Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 94.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.
It has shared a draw with every one of the other 9 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →
How many people play it Under the crowd model, 3 is picked about 1.48× as often as an indifferent choice — 2nd most popular of 10. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22 Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10 Culturally lucky numbers 3, 8, 9 ×1.10 The model and its sources → · What people believe about 3 →
Every draw it appeared in ← number 2 Every number number 4 → What this cannot tell you Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 3 is drawn with probability 7/10 tonight whatever it did last week.