Number 4

In Poker Lotto under the 5/13 · since Aug 2025 rules — 429 draws, 5 from 1–13.

179times drawn · chance expected 165 +1.39σ

1draws waiting · a wait this long: >99% for any number

2.4average wait between appearances · chance says 2.6

13longest completed wait · 41% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 179 times in 429 draws against 165.0 expected, +1.39σ. Each draw is independent: after 1 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 179 times in 429 draws · average wait 2.4 draws · longest completed wait 13 · waiting 1 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest53 · chance 45.6
2nd smallest77 · chance 91.1
3rd smallest44 · chance 39.1
4th smallest4 · chance 3.3
5th smallest1 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 59.7 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 11 3 9 1 7

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 12 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 13. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-10-10	1	2nd	2 4 5 10 12
2026-10-09	0	1st	4 5 8 13
2026-10-09	1	1st	4 5 8 13
2026-10-08	7	3rd	1 3 4 8 12

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/13 tonight whatever it did last week.

2026-08-15	1	1st	4 6 10 11 13
2026-08-14	1	3rd	1 3 4 11 12
2026-08-13	3	4th	1 2 3 4 10
2026-08-10	4	1st	4 6 7 7 9
2026-08-06	1	3rd	1 2 4 11 11
2026-08-05	2	2nd	1 4 5 10 12
2026-08-03	1	2nd	2 4 5 11 13
2026-08-02	1	1st	4 5 7 7 11
2026-08-01	4	2nd	2 4 5 7 9
2026-07-28	3	2nd	1 4 5 7 9
2026-07-25	0	3rd	1 1 4 10
2026-07-25	2	3rd	1 1 4 10
2026-07-23	1	2nd	3 4 5 9 13
2026-07-22	1	1st	4 5 11 11 13
2026-07-21	0	1st	4 6 7 11
2026-07-21	1	1st	4 6 7 11
2026-07-20	4	1st	4 5 6 8 9
2026-07-16	8	2nd	2 4 6 13 13
2026-07-08	4	3rd	2 3 4 12 12
2026-07-04	0	3rd	2 3 4 11
2026-07-04	1	3rd	2 3 4 11
2026-07-03	1	2nd	2 4 7 11 12
2026-07-02	2	2nd	2 4 5 6 13
2026-06-30	1	2nd	2 4 7 8 10
2026-06-29	5	3rd	1 3 4 6 13
2026-06-24	1	2nd	2 4 7 12 12
2026-06-23	4	3rd	1 3 4 11 12
2026-06-19	2	3rd	3 3 4 10 11
2026-06-17	0	2nd	3 4 8 12
2026-06-17	1	2nd	3 4 8 12
2026-06-16	2	1st	4 5 7 8 9
2026-06-14	4	1st	4 5 6 11 13
2026-06-10	6	3rd	2 3 4 5 11
2026-06-04	2	1st	4 8 8 11 13
2026-06-02	4	2nd	1 4 8 11 11
2026-05-29	1	2nd	1 4 8 10 11
2026-05-28	1	1st	4 6 7 10 13
2026-05-27	2	3rd	1 3 4 6 12
2026-05-25	1	3rd	2 3 4 9 12
2026-05-24	1	3rd	1 2 4 6 10
2026-05-23	2	3rd	1 1 4 8 13
2026-05-21	3	3rd	2 3 4 10 11
2026-05-18	8	1st	4 7 7 11 13
2026-05-10	0	3rd	1 3 4 8
2026-05-10	1	3rd	1 3 4 8
2026-05-09	4	2nd	3 4 9 10 13
2026-05-05	2	2nd	2 4 10 11 11
2026-05-03	2	3rd	2 3 4 5 7
2026-05-01	1	1st	4 5 7 9 10
2026-04-30	3	2nd	3 4 6 10 12
2026-04-27	4	3rd	1 3 4 9 12
2026-04-23	1	2nd	2 4 11 11 13
2026-04-22	4	1st	4 8 10 13 13
2026-04-18	5	2nd	3 4 5 10 12
2026-04-13	3	2nd	2 4 5 6 8
2026-04-10	5	3rd	2 3 4 6 13
2026-04-05	2	1st	4 5 7 10 13
2026-04-03	3	1st	4 10 11 11 11
2026-03-31	0	1st	4 6 8 13
2026-03-31	4	1st	4 6 8 13
2026-03-27	1	2nd	2 4 7 7 13
2026-03-26	3	1st	4 5 6 7 11
2026-03-23	0	2nd	1 4 7 9
2026-03-23	1	2nd	1 4 7 9
2026-03-22	2	2nd	3 4 7 11 12
2026-03-20	3	2nd	2 4 7 11 13
2026-03-17	3	3rd	1 2 4 7 10
2026-03-14	0	1st	4 10 12
2026-03-14	0	1st	4 10 12
2026-03-14	2	1st	4 10 12
2026-03-12	1	2nd	3 4 7 10 13
2026-03-11	6	1st	4 5 8 10 13
2026-03-05	4	1st	4 5 8 11 13
2026-03-01	1	3rd	2 3 4 6 11
2026-02-28	1	1st	4 5 10 11 13
2026-02-27	2	2nd	1 4 6 8 10
2026-02-25	1	2nd	1 4 5 9 10
2026-02-24	3	2nd	2 4 6 7 11
2026-02-21	1	3rd	2 2 4 9 10
2026-02-20	2	2nd	3 4 9 10 12
2026-02-18	1	3rd	1 3 4 7 9
2026-02-17	2	1st	4 5 6 7 8
2026-02-15	0	2nd	3 4 9 11
2026-02-15	2	2nd	3 4 9 11
2026-02-13	2	2nd	2 4 7 12 12
2026-02-11	3	1st	4 9 11 11 13
2026-02-08	1	3rd	1 3 4 9 10
2026-02-07	2	3rd	1 3 4 6 6
2026-02-05	3	2nd	2 4 7 7 8
2026-02-02	1	1st	4 5 5 10 13
2026-02-01	2	2nd	1 4 6 7 11
2026-01-30	1	2nd	2 4 5 9 12
2026-01-29	0	1st	4 9 9 11
2026-01-29	2	1st	4 9 9 11
2026-01-27	4	2nd	2 4 6 10 11
2026-01-23	2	2nd	3 4 5 11 13
2026-01-21	0	2nd	3 4 5 11
2026-01-21	6	2nd	3 4 5 11
2026-01-15	3	3rd	1 2 4 5 6
2026-01-12	4	3rd	2 2 4 8 13
2026-01-08	2	3rd	2 3 4 6 12
2026-01-06	2	2nd	2 4 6 10 13
2026-01-04	11	5th	1 1 2 3 4
2025-12-24	0	1st	4 8 8
2025-12-24	0	1st	4 8 8
2025-12-24	1	1st	4 8 8
2025-12-23	1	3rd	1 2 4 9 13
2025-12-22	2	2nd	1 4 9 10 13
2025-12-20	0	2nd	2 4 9 11
2025-12-20	2	2nd	2 4 9 11
2025-12-18	1	2nd	1 4 5 8 9
2025-12-17	1	1st	4 5 5 10 10
2025-12-16	7	1st	4 7 9 9 13
2025-12-09	6	3rd	1 3 4 8 13
2025-12-03	2	2nd	3 4 8 13 13
2025-12-01	1	2nd	2 4 5 9 11
2025-11-30	7	4th	1 1 2 4 9
2025-11-23	5	2nd	3 4 7 8 9
2025-11-18	4	2nd	3 4 5 9 11
2025-11-14	0	1st	4 6 9 12
2025-11-14	1	1st	4 6 9 12
2025-11-13	2	1st	4 5 6 8 12
2025-11-11	5	2nd	3 4 6 9 12
2025-11-06	2	1st	4 7 8 9 10
2025-11-04	2	2nd	1 4 5 5 6
2025-11-02	1	3rd	2 2 4 8 13
2025-11-01	2	2nd	3 4 6 6 6
2025-10-30	6	2nd	2 4 8 8 13
2025-10-24	7	3rd	1 3 4 5 10
2025-10-17	3	1st	4 8 9 9 13
2025-10-14	1	2nd	3 4 6 7 9
2025-10-13	8	2nd	2 4 8 9 10
2025-10-05	0	3rd	1 2 4 8
2025-10-05	3	3rd	1 2 4 8
2025-10-02	4	3rd	2 2 4 6 8
2025-09-28	4	2nd	3 4 8 11 13
2025-09-24	0	2nd	3 4 12
2025-09-24	0	2nd	3 4 12
2025-09-24	1	2nd	3 4 12
2025-09-23	7	1st	4 7 8 11 13
2025-09-16	2	2nd	2 4 7 9 12
2025-09-14	0	2nd	3 4 8 9
2025-09-14	1	2nd	3 4 8 9
2025-09-13	5	1st	4 6 7 12 13
2025-09-08	3	2nd	1 4 7 7 9
2025-09-05	5	2nd	1 4 5 6 9
2025-08-31	6	3rd	2 3 4 5 13
2025-08-25	1	3rd	2 3 4 9 12
2025-08-24	1	3rd	1 2 4 7 9
2025-08-23	1	2nd	3 4 6 11 11
2025-08-22	6	4th	1 1 2 4 12
2025-08-16	4	2nd	3 4 7 8 8
2025-08-12	1	2nd	1 4 6 7 8
2025-08-11	0	3rd	1 2 4 7
2025-08-11	—	3rd	1 2 4 7