Sunday, 9 February 2025

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (18, 31, 33) with the draw of 27 November 2024 — its closest relative in 136 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 50% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 February 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 43% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 146 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 125. No two numbers side by side. 36% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

31 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.