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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 16 October 2021

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 7
  3. 17
  4. 26
  5. 27
  6. 38
  7. 1
  8. 19

JackpotA$20,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 668 of 931 under them

← 2021-10-09All recent draws2021-10-23 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 7 17 26 27 38 + 1 1929 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum25th
  • odd48th
  • low48th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread63th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 89 of each

273times
785times
1787times
2693times
27

Prize breakdown · 2021-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 99Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$42.9Mto 2.1M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 48lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 12

Where the money went

  • 147%A$20M
  • 510%A$4.2M
  • 630%A$12.7M
  • 3 other tiers14%A$6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 12 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

97times
38101times

Every number was expected about that many times after 667 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (17, 26, 27, 38) with the draw of 7 April 2012 — its closest relative in 667 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 61% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 October 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

117

The numbers add up to 117 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

7 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 19% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$3,333,333
  • 32,364≈ 2.9k by chanceA$806
  • 4121,941≈ 136k by chanceA$23.15
  • 2125A$10,070
  • 5300,178A$13.90
  • 61,663,257A$7.65
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈99M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 2,364 winners, 17% fewer than the 2.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$3,333,333
    2125A$10,070
    32,364A$806
    4121,941A$23.15
    5300,178A$13.90
    61,663,257A$7.65