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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 14 July 2012

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 17
  2. 30
  3. 36
  4. 41
  5. 42
  6. 45
  7. 20
  8. 35

JackpotA$4,253,559

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 185 of 930 under them

← 2012-07-07All recent draws2012-07-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed17 30 36 41 42 45 + 20 3529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 July 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 46% of every possible ticket.

  • sum99th
  • odd48th
  • low5th
  • widest gap43th
  • neighbours67th
  • spread23th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1721times
3025times
3621times
4128times
42

Prize breakdown · 2012-07-14

  • Lines in play≈ 43Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.2Mto 489k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 88lines took a prize
  • 12 winnerschance said 5.3

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.3M
  • 521%A$3.2M
  • 627%A$4.1M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 12≈ 5.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

25times
4520times

Every number was expected about that many times after 184 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (17, 42, 45) with the draw of 24 March 2012 — its closest relative in 184 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 July 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

211

The numbers add up to 211 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. Side-by-side numbers: 41–42. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

42 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 55% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$2,126,780
  • 3976≈ 1.2k by chanceA$1,276
  • 452,561≈ 58k by chanceA$35.85
  • 254A$10,691
  • 5131,857A$23.95
  • 6304,009A$13.40
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈43M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 976 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    12A$2,126,780
    254A$10,691
    3976A$1,276
    452,561A$35.85
    5131,857A$23.95
    6304,009A$13.40