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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 7 May 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 24
  3. 26
  4. 28
  5. 39
  6. 44
  7. 4
  8. 36

JackpotA$4,383,646

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 123 of 930 under them

← 2011-04-30All recent draws2011-05-14 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 24 26 28 39 44 + 4 3629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 7 May 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum88th
  • odd5th
  • low5th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread41th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

1217times
2423times
2619times
2813times
39

Prize breakdown · 2011-05-07

  • Lines in play≈ 50Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$15.6Mto 560k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 90lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 6.2

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.4M
  • 521%A$3.3M
  • 627%A$4.2M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 6.2 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

12times
4412times

Every number was expected about that many times after 122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (24, 28, 39) with the draw of 6 November 2010 — its closest relative in 122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 April 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 87th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

28 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,095,912
  • 31,172≈ 1.4k by chanceA$1,094
  • 461,450≈ 68k by chanceA$31.55
  • 251A$11,652
  • 5176,414A$18.45
  • 6320,669A$13.05
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈50M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 1,172 winners, 19% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,095,912
    251A$11,652
    31,172A$1,094
    461,450A$31.55
    5176,414A$18.45
    6320,669A$13.05