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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 5 February 2011

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 30
  5. 42
  6. 45
  7. 18
  8. 24

JackpotA$4,181,356

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 110 of 930 under them

← 2011-01-29All recent draws2011-02-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 11 19 30 42 45 + 18 2429 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

520times
1115times
1915times
3012times
42

Prize breakdown · 2011-02-05

  • Lines in play≈ 53Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.9Mto 538k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 98lines took a prize
  • 16 winnerschance said 6.5

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4.2M
  • 521%A$3.1M
  • 627%A$4M
  • 3 other tiers24%A$3.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 16≈ 6.5 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

17times
459times

Every number was expected about that many times after 109 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 11, 42) with the draw of 11 September 2010 — its closest relative in 109 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 January 2011): 11, 19 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$696,893
  • 31,367≈ 1.5k by chanceA$896
  • 464,708≈ 72k by chanceA$28.60
  • 252A$10,913
  • 5150,572A$20.65
  • 6321,340A$12.45
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈53M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 64,708 winners, 10% fewer than the 72k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    16A$696,893
    252A$10,913
    31,367A$896
    464,708A$28.60
    5150,572A$20.65
    6321,340A$12.45