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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Saturday Lotto · draw

Saturday, 24 October 2009

ResultSaturday Lotto

Single source
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 16
  4. 23
  5. 34
  6. 39
  7. 12
  8. 17

JackpotA$4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/45 + 2/45 · since Jan 2009draw 43 of 930 under them

← 2009-10-17All recent draws2009-10-31 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 16 23 34 39 + 12 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2009 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

56oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 56 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 60% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd20th
  • low77th
  • widest gap34th
  • neighbours24th
  • spread68th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

27times
147times
165times
232times
34

Prize breakdown · 2009-10-24

  • Lines in play≈ 44Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outA$14.1Mto 196k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 225lines took a prize
  • 14 winnerschance said 5.4

Where the money went

  • 128%A$4M
  • 420%A$2.9M
  • 533%A$4.7M
  • 2 other tiers18%A$2.6M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 14≈ 5.4 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

9times
394times

Every number was expected about that many times after 42 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (2, 34, 39) with the draw of 7 March 2009 — its closest relative in 42 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 64% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2009): 2 carried over. Chance says 60% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 138. No two numbers side by side. 53% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

23 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
A$1,000,000
  • 3989≈ 1.3k by chanceA$1,689
  • 454,040≈ 60k by chanceA$53.50
  • 260A$14,735
  • 5141,063A$33.05
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈44M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 989 winners, 22% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    14A$1,000,000
    260A$14,735
    3989A$1,689
    454,040A$53.50
    5141,063A$33.05