Number 4

In Lotto Strike under the 4/45 · since Oct 2019 rules — 1,215 draws, 4 from 1–45.

102times drawn · chance expected 108 −0.60σ

39draws waiting · a wait this long: 3% for any number

11.3average wait between appearances · chance says 11.3

76longest completed wait · 9% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 102 times in 1,215 draws against 108.0 expected, −0.60σ. Each draw is independent: after 39 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 102 times in 1,215 draws · average wait 11.3 draws · longest completed wait 76 · waiting 39 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest83 · chance 82.1
2nd smallest19 · chance 18.9
3rd smallest0 · chance 0.9
4th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 7.0 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

20 26 2 16 30 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 44 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 45. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-08-05	18	1st	4 14 28 42
2026-07-04	33	1st	4 8 32 43
2026-05-08	5	1st	4 17 40 41
2026-04-29	12	2nd	2 4 18 20
2026-04-08	2	2nd	1

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 4/45 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-01-15	10	1st	4 12 20 32
2024-12-28	14	1st	4 12 26 41
2024-12-04	12	1st	4 17 22 42
2024-11-13	5	1st	4 19 31 34
2024-11-04	8	1st	4 6 36 37
2024-10-21	2	1st	4 18 22 25
2024-10-18	17	1st	4 28 29 30
2024-09-18	1	2nd	2 4 23 30
2024-09-16	4	1st	4 20 30 36
2024-09-09	2	1st	4 8 12 16
2024-09-06	15	1st	4 16 20 26
2024-08-10	8	1st	4 37 42 45
2024-07-27	6	1st	4 27 37 45
2024-07-17	6	2nd	2 4 11 34
2024-07-06	29	2nd	3 4 20 26
2024-05-15	3	1st	4 18 41 42
2024-05-08	16	1st	4 28 37 43
2024-04-01	3	1st	4 5 30 31
2024-03-25	23	1st	4 11 31 35
2024-01-31	58	1st	4 26 31 34
2023-09-18	15	1st	4 19 23 44
2023-08-14	14	1st	4 8 25 31
2023-07-12	8	1st	4 13 40 41
2023-06-24	24	1st	4 21 30 37
2023-04-29	3	1st	4 15 16 18
2023-04-22	2	1st	4 32 38 41
2023-04-17	1	1st	4 21 42 45
2023-04-15	2	1st	4 16 23 31
2023-04-10	12	1st	4 17 28 36
2023-03-13	1	1st	4 18 29 44
2023-03-11	12	1st	4 9 10 42
2023-02-11	8	1st	4 7 20 21
2023-01-23	5	2nd	2 4 34 36
2023-01-11	8	1st	4 13 16 25
2022-12-24	1	1st	4 8 32 39
2022-12-21	8	1st	4 9 30 45
2022-12-03	8	1st	4 12 15 39
2022-11-14	2	2nd	1 4 22 43
2022-11-09	4	1st	4 11 25 35
2022-10-31	19	1st	4 6 26 38
2022-09-17	8	1st	4 7 23 25
2022-08-29	27	1st	4 14 33 39
2022-06-27	3	1st	4 21 28 36
2022-06-20	2	2nd	1 4 13 20
2022-06-15	10	1st	4 18 23 24
2022-05-23	11	1st	4 12 24 36
2022-04-27	20	1st	4 15 16 30
2022-03-12	1	1st	4 29 35 41
2022-03-09	1	1st	4 8 14 17
2022-03-07	8	1st	4 19 30 34
2022-02-16	1	1st	4 10 14 28
2022-02-14	35	1st	4 11 29 35
2021-11-24	13	1st	4 5 6 39
2021-10-25	11	1st	4 11 17 20
2021-09-29	1	1st	4 20 25 26
2021-09-27	61	1st	4 15 21 24
2021-05-08	18	2nd	2 4 31 41
2021-03-27	12	2nd	2 4 23 35
2021-02-27	6	1st	4 24 35 45
2021-02-13	5	2nd	1 4 22 43
2021-02-01	3	2nd	3 4 24 36
2021-01-25	3	1st	4 6 20 35
2021-01-18	1	1st	4 13 29 38
2021-01-16	22	1st	4 12 17 22
2020-11-25	6	1st	4 6 35 40
2020-11-11	1	1st	4 20 25 30
2020-11-09	4	1st	4 7 20 45
2020-10-31	19	1st	4 19 26 27
2020-09-16	3	2nd	3 4 16 23
2020-09-09	18	1st	4 7 37 43
2020-07-29	22	1st	4 8 20 45
2020-06-08	8	1st	4 20 39 44
2020-05-20	9	1st	4 16 17 20
2020-04-29	3	1st	4 7 17 20
2020-04-22	29	1st	4 11 19 24
2020-02-15	8	2nd	3 4 21 24
2020-01-27	5	2nd	2 4 13 23
2020-01-15	—	1st	4 6 19 30