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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
AU · ball game
Latest drawMonday, 12 October 2026
JackpotA$1,305,000
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 12 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC.
4 numbers from 1–45. 1,215 draws held here since 2019-10-28.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Lotto Strike come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Lotto Strike already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,215 draws every number is expected about 108 times, and a ball favoured by more than 38% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 11 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 34 or more. It is never “due”.

The 4 numbers add up to about 92, give or take 25. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

24.9% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

990 possible pairs, each expected together 7.4 times so far — and about 10 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 45 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

32% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 99.3% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 9.2 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 48 draws for every one of the 45 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

148,995 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,215 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 9, the highest near 37. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

4/45 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 0% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 210 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 4/45 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 4-of-45 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (1, 12, 14) with the draw of 4 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 37 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 4 in Exact Order | 0 | A$1,305,000 |
| Match 3 in Exact Order | 9 | A$669 |
| Match 2 in Exact Order | 379 | A$71.45 |
| Match 1 in Exact Order | 8,728 | A$1.00 |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 52 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 30.7 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 12 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Scored 26 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 5% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,214 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–6 | 5 | 7.0 |
| 7–13 | 4 | 5.6 |
| 14–20 | 5 | 4.5 |
| 21–27 | 5 | 3.6 |
| 28–34 | 4 | 2.9 |
| 35–41 | 4 | 2.3 |
| 42–48 | 2 | 1.8 |
| 49–55 | 1 | 1.5 |
| 56–62 | 2 | 1.2 |
| 63–69 | 1 | 0.9 |
| 70+ | 2 | 3.7 |
Shares 3 of 4 numbers (1, 12, 14) with the draw of 4 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,214 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,213 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 4 numbers (2, 16) with the draw of 7 October 2026 — its closest relative in 1,213 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): 15 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 74 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,212 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (15, 28, 33) with the draw of 6 November 2021 — its closest relative in 1,212 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): 33 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 112 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,211 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (2, 22, 33) with the draw of 9 June 2025 — its closest relative in 1,211 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): 22 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 73 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →16 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 108 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,210 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (15, 22, 24) with the draw of 14 May 2025 — its closest relative in 1,210 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 92 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 81 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,209 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (9, 20, 32) with the draw of 18 May 2024 — its closest relative in 1,209 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 100 — the 61th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,208 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 4 numbers (34, 43) with the draw of 14 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,208 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 140 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,207 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 4 numbers (22, 28) with the draw of 8 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,207 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 89 — the 45th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,206 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (12, 41, 45) with the draw of 30 April 2025 — its closest relative in 1,206 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 137 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 37 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,205 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (2, 6, 25) with the draw of 20 April 2020 — its closest relative in 1,205 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (25 September 2026): 2 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 60 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,204 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (1, 2, 40) with the draw of 6 May 2024 — its closest relative in 1,204 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 88 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,203 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (24, 39, 44) with the draw of 13 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,203 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 74% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 92. No two numbers side by side. 25% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 11 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →