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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Déjà vu
Players avoid last week’s numbers because they feel spent, and treat a repeated draw as proof of tampering. Both instincts come from expecting the machine to remember what it did. It has no memory at all — and that single fact makes the first belief backwards and the second one arithmetic.
A number repeating from the last draw is the normal case, not a warning. A whole draw repeating is rare but not suspicious — and most apparent repeats are recording errors, not miracles.
The last fourteen draws
Lit numbers also appeared in the draw above. In a 1-from-15 game chance says 7% of draws will hold at least one number over — then switch to a shuffled history and try to tell the difference.
The most recent draws, oldest first. Lit numbers were also in the draw above.
0 of 13 of these draws repeated at least one number from the draw before it — 0.0% against the 6.7% chance predicts. Switch to a shuffled history and the behaviour does not change.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Every draw, against the model
239 consecutive pairs of Cash Pop draws, beside what a machine with no memory would produce. The average number held over is exactly 1²/15 — 0.067 — and the data agrees to two decimal places.
numbers held over from the previous draw
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
The coincidence ladder
Nothing in that formula required the two draws to be consecutive, so the same distribution describes every pair of draws in the history — a decade apart just as well as a week. The top rung is the same draw, twice.
28,680 pairs of draws in this history, by how many numbers the two draws had in common.
| Numbers in common | Pairs of draws | Chance predicts | Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 26,764 | 26,768 | 1.00× |
| 1the same draw twice | 1,916 | 1,912 | 1.00× |
Every rung is the same hypergeometric formula, evaluated at a different overlap. The machine has no memory of how long ago a draw was, so the distribution that governs consecutive draws governs draws a decade apart just as well — including the top rung, where the two draws are identical.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Has it ever happened?
The instinct is to reach for 1 in 15 and conclude it could not have. That is the answer to a different question — whether the next draw matches one you name. Drag the history length and watch the real question behave completely differently.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
The register
Every combination this game has produced more than once — and a verdict on each. The verdicts exist because the first version of this scan found seven times more repeats than chance allows, and almost all of the excess was bad data rather than remarkable luck.
2025-11-18 2026-06-09203 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-19 2025-12-3041 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-20 2025-11-266 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-21 2025-11-287 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-22 2025-12-0614 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-23 2025-12-2128 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-24 2025-11-306 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-25 2025-12-027 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-26 2025-12-037 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-27 2025-12-0811 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-28 2025-12-057 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-29 2026-05-03155 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-11-30 2026-04-28149 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-01 2025-12-043 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-02 2025-12-119 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-03 2025-12-107 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-04 2025-12-128 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-05 2025-12-138 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-06 2025-12-159 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-07 2025-12-1811 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-08 2025-12-1911 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-09 2025-12-2314 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-10 2025-12-144 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-11 2025-12-176 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-12 2025-12-2513 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-13 2025-12-229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-14 2025-12-2410 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-15 2025-12-205 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-16 2026-04-25130 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-17 2025-12-2710 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-18 2025-12-2810 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-19 2026-05-06138 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-20 2025-12-266 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-21 2026-04-23123 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-22 2025-12-297 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-23 2026-04-24122 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-24 2026-05-02129 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-25 2026-05-01127 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-26 2026-04-29124 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-27 2026-04-27121 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-28 2026-04-22115 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-29 2025-12-312 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2025-12-30 2026-05-09130 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2025-12-31 2026-04-26116 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-22 2026-05-1321 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-23 2026-05-3138 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-24 2026-05-0713 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-25 2026-04-305 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-26 2026-05-1014 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-27 2026-06-2357 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-28 2026-05-1921 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-29 2026-06-0840 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-04-30 2026-05-2929 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-01 2026-05-1817 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-02 2026-05-042 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-03 2026-05-052 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-04 2026-05-117 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-05 2026-06-0733 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-06 2026-05-082 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-07 2026-06-2751 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-08 2026-05-2820 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-09 2026-05-123 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-10 2026-05-177 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-11 2026-05-165 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-12 2026-05-2412 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-13 2026-05-3017 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-14 2026-05-151 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-15 2026-06-2238 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-16 2026-06-1227 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-17 2026-05-203 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-18 2026-05-235 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-19 2026-06-1123 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-20 2026-05-211 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-21 2026-05-221 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-22 2026-05-253 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-23 2026-05-274 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-24 2026-08-1886 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-25 2026-05-261 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-05-26 2026-06-016 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-27 2026-06-1822 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-28 2026-06-058 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-29 2026-06-1012 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-30 2026-06-045 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-05-31 2026-06-022 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-01 2026-06-3029 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-02 2026-06-031 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-03 2026-06-063 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-04 2026-07-0127 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-05 2026-06-1611 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-06 2026-06-148 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-07 2026-07-0427 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-08 2026-06-157 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-09 2026-06-2617 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-10 2026-07-1333 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-11 2026-06-132 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-12 2026-06-197 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-13 2026-07-1633 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-14 2026-06-173 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-15 2026-06-205 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-16 2026-07-1529 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-17 2026-07-0821 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-18 2026-06-246 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-19 2026-06-212 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-06-20 2026-06-288 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-21 2026-06-254 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-22 2026-06-297 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-23 2026-08-0139 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-24 2026-07-0511 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-25 2026-07-038 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-26 2026-07-0610 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-27 2026-07-1114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-28 2026-07-024 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-29 2026-07-1920 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-06-30 2026-07-099 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-01 2026-07-1413 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-02 2026-08-2554 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-03 2026-08-1038 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-04 2026-07-2016 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-05 2026-07-105 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-06 2026-07-071 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-07 2026-07-2316 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-08 2026-08-1437 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-09 2026-07-123 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-10 2026-07-3020 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-11 2026-07-187 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-12 2026-07-2513 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-13 2026-07-229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-14 2026-08-1330 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-15 2026-07-172 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-16 2026-07-2711 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-17 2026-08-0418 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-18 2026-08-0518 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-19 2026-07-212 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-20 2026-07-244 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-21 2026-07-298 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-22 2026-08-0817 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-23 2026-07-263 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-24 2026-08-029 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-25 2026-10-1380 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-26 2026-07-282 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-07-27 2026-07-314 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-28 2026-08-036 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-29 2026-08-079 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-30 2026-08-2425 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-07-31 2026-08-2020 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-01 2026-08-065 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-02 2026-08-2725 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-03 2026-08-3128 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-04 2026-08-2622 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-05 2026-08-1914 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-06 2026-08-126 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-07 2026-08-114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-08 2026-08-091 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-09 2026-08-156 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-10 2026-10-0556 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-11 2026-09-2040 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-12 2026-09-0221 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-13 2026-09-1533 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-14 2026-08-162 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-15 2026-08-172 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-16 2026-08-226 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-17 2026-08-2811 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-18 2026-08-235 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-19 2026-08-212 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-08-20 2026-09-1324 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-21 2026-08-309 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-22 2026-09-0413 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-23 2026-08-296 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-24 2026-09-0613 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-25 2026-09-017 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-26 2026-10-0843 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-27 2026-09-059 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-28 2026-09-2932 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-29 2026-09-1820 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-08-31 2026-09-099 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-01 2026-09-076 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-02 2026-09-031 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-03 2026-09-085 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-04 2026-09-1915 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-05 2026-09-2318 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-06 2026-10-1135 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-07 2026-09-114 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-08 2026-09-124 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-09 2026-09-101 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-10 2026-09-144 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-11 2026-09-165 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-12 2026-09-2210 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-13 2026-09-218 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-14 2026-09-3016 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-15 2026-10-0217 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-16 2026-09-171 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-17 2026-09-247 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-18 2026-09-268 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-19 2026-10-2839 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-20 2026-09-255 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-21 2026-10-0615 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-22 2026-10-0917 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-23 2026-09-285 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-24 2026-10-0410 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-25 2026-09-272 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-09-27 2026-10-014 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-28 2026-10-035 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-29 2026-10-078 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-09-30 2026-10-2020 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-01 2026-10-1413 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-04 2026-10-2117 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-05 2026-10-1813 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-07 2026-10-103 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-08 2026-10-2719 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-09 2026-10-3122 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-10 2026-10-155 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-11 2026-10-121 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-12 2026-10-164 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-13 2026-10-229 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-14 2026-10-173 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-18 2026-10-191 days apart
Only 1 day apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-19 2026-10-2910 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-20 2026-10-233 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-21 2026-10-254 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-22 2026-10-242 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-23 2026-11-0311 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-24 2026-10-262 days apart
Only 2 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
2026-10-25 2026-10-305 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-27 2026-11-015 days apart
Separated by years, which is what a genuine repeat looks like.
2026-10-30 2026-11-023 days apart
Only 3 days apart. Genuine repeats are drawn from every pair of draws in the history, so nearly all of them are years apart; this pattern is the signature of a re-posted result.
The machine has no memory. Repeats are normal, and most apparent ones are recording errors.
Reading the lunch_break draw of 4 this game runs (lunch_break, morning_buzz, night_owl, prime_time), 240 draws over 1 years. Carry-over is only meaningful within a single draw series — mixing a game’s sub-draws would make “the previous draw” mean the previous different game.
The two layers underneath
Everything on this page is the same formula asked three times.
Take a draw of numbers from a pool of . Now take another draw, made by a machine with no memory of the first. How many numbers do they share?
The second draw is a uniform -subset, and the first draw's numbers are a fixed target inside the pool. That is a hypergeometric setup — drawing without replacement from a population split into "was in the last draw" and "wasn't":
The mean simplifies to something worth remembering:
Each of your numbers has probability of being among the next draw's , and expectation adds regardless of the dependence between them. For a 6/49 that is numbers carried over per draw.
The quantity players actually care about is , and it is the complement of a single term:
For a 6/49: .
More often than not, a 6/49 draw repeats a number from the draw before it. For a 7-from-52 game it is about 66%; for a 5-from-69 game, where the pool is sparse relative to the pick, it drops to 32%. The belief that a number is "used up" for a while has the arithmetic exactly inverted, and the strength of the effect is a property of the format rather than of the balls.
Nothing in that derivation used the fact that the two draws were consecutive. The machine has no memory of a week ago and none of a decade ago either, so the same distribution describes every pair of draws in the history.
With draws there are pairs, and the expected number sharing exactly numbers is . That is the ladder on this page — and its top rung, , is two draws that were completely identical.
Here is where intuition fails hardest.
Asked whether a lottery has ever repeated a draw, people reach for — one in 13,983,816 for a 6/49 — and conclude it could not have happened. But that is the answer to "will the next draw match this specific one?" The real question is whether any of the pairs match, and that count grows quadratically while the space stays fixed.
The expected number of repeats after draws is
and, treating them as approximately Poisson,
Even odds arrive when , which gives
For a 6/49 that is 4,404 draws — around forty years of twice-weekly play. Not the geological timescale the one-in-fourteen-million figure suggests. A game that has been running since the 1980s is not unlikely to have repeated itself; it is roughly a coin flip.
There is one more step, and this page learned it the hard way.
When you hunt for coincidences across many games at once, the expected count rises with every game you add — but so does the number of ways your data can be wrong. Scanning every lottery in this database for repeated draws returns about a third more than chance allows, and essentially none of the excess is remarkable: it is one physical draw recorded under two slot names, or a result posted to two consecutive dates.
The statistical lesson generalises well beyond lotteries. At the scale where coincidences become expected, data errors become expected faster, because they are not competing against a one-in-fourteen-million denominator. Any anomaly hunt that does not model its own error rate will find its bugs first and report them as discoveries.
On 6 September 2009 the Bulgarian national lottery drew 4, 15, 23, 24, 35 and 42. Nobody won.
Four days later, on 10 September, the machine produced 4, 15, 23, 24, 35 and 42 again. This time eighteen people had the ticket.
The reaction was immediate and entirely predictable. The country's sports minister ordered an investigation; commentators explained that the odds were millions to one and that such a thing could not happen by accident. The investigation found no evidence of manipulation, and mathematicians pointed out what the arithmetic on this page says: across the thousands of draws held every week by hundreds of lotteries worldwide, a repeat somewhere is not merely possible but expected.
The Bulgarian case is famous because it was consecutive, which is genuinely rarer than a repeat separated by years. But the instinct it provoked — a coincidence this striking must have a cause — is the one this whole playground exists to examine.
Lottery players hold two convictions about repetition, and they contradict each other.
The first is that a number which came up last week is spent, and should be avoided. This is the gambler's fallacy in its most common costume, and the arithmetic is not close: in a 6/49 game, more than half of all draws repeat a number from the draw before. The "unlikely" thing is the one that happens most weeks.
The second is that a whole draw repeating would be proof of a rigged machine. That one is wrong in the other direction — a repeat is exactly what a fair machine produces once a game has run long enough, and the point at which it becomes likely is far nearer than anybody guesses.
Both beliefs come from the same place: a sense that the machine ought to remember what it has already done. It doesn't. It has no state at all between draws, which is what makes both the carry-over and the eventual repeat inevitable.
Building this page produced a small object lesson, and it seemed dishonest to leave it out.
The first version simply hunted for repeated draws across every game in this database. It found 10,400 of them, against roughly 1,455 that chance allows — a sevenfold excess that, taken at face value, would be the largest anomaly ever reported in a lottery dataset.
It was not an anomaly. It was three separate bugs.
Some games run several sub-draws under one name — South Africa's Lotto has a main draw, Plus 1, Plus 2 and a 5 Max — and the same physical result was filed under two of those slot names, so it looked like the machine had repeated itself within a second. Another game had a stretch in 2024 where results were posted to two consecutive dates, producing sixteen "one in 177,100" events in a single spring. And the search itself had a flaw: it packed each draw into a 64-bit mask, which silently dropped every number above 64, making Powerball's 65 to 69 invisible and manufacturing a clean, plausible, entirely fictional deviation.
Only the last of those was our own code, and it was the most dangerous, because it did not look like a bug. It looked like a finding.
Every claim on this site is an anomaly hunt of some kind: is this number hot, is this pair unusual, is this machine fair. The honest version of that work spends most of its effort on the boring question — could this be an artifact? — because at the scale where genuine coincidences start appearing, mistakes are appearing much faster.
The register on this page is what survived that question. It shows the repeats we believe, the number chance predicted, and the ones we threw out and why. It is a shorter list than the first version produced. It is also true.