Mega Millions: Chance Detective — which machine would you investigate? — LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle · F-43

Chance Detective

Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?

Main drum: 5 of 70. Bonus balls are excluded.

2026-10-15 · UTC490 DrawsSimulated evidence

Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.

Machine A

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	38	35
2	39	35
3	36	35
4	35	35
5	37	35
6	36	35
7	40	35
8	35	35
9	35	35
10	31	35
11	27	35
12	37	35
13	36	35
14	26	35
15	32	35
16	41	35
17	40	35
18	31	35
19	27	35
20	26	35
21	33	35
22	40	35
23	33	35
24	32	35
25	33	35
26	49	35
27	32	35
28	31	35
29	44	35
30	48	35
31	31	35
32	42	35
33	50	35
34	35	35
35	33	35
36	30	35
37	40	35
38	37	35
39	38	35
40	24	35
41	33	35
42	37	35
43	29	35
44	26	35
45	40	35
46	35	35
47	31	35
48	40	35
49	47	35
50	32	35
51	30	35
52	31	35
53	40	35
54	37	35
55	35	35
56	33	35
57	37	35
58	36	35
59	31	35
60	30	35
61	29	35
62	39	35
63	40	35
64	33	35
65	34	35
66	32	35
67	39	35
68	31	35
69	30	35
70	33	35

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine B

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	7	35
2	6	35
3	13	35
4	133	35
5	10	35
6	145	35
7	5	35
8	7	35
9	6	35
10	9	35
11	8	35
12	8	35
13	9	35
14	140	35
15	11	35
16	141	35
17	8	35
18	10	35
19	9	35
20	8	35
21	9	35
22	14	35
23	14	35
24	129	35
25	8	35
26	140	35
27	6	35
28	11	35
29	7	35
30	14	35
31	9	35
32	8	35
33	8	35
34	135	35
35	5	35
36	162	35
37	7	35
38	8	35
39	11	35
40	7	35
41	5	35
42	7	35
43	11	35
44	135	35
45	1	35
46	136	35
47	7	35
48	10	35
49	10	35
50	8	35
51	7	35
52	9	35
53	12	35
54	156	35
55	11	35
56	133	35
57	8	35
58	8	35
59	14	35
60	8	35
61	8	35
62	11	35
63	10	35
64	144	35
65	10	35
66	129	35
67	9	35
68	7	35
69	8	35
70	13	35

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine C

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	35	35
2	33	35
3	34	35
4	33	35
5	31	35
6	35	35
7	43	35
8	39	35
9	31	35
10	33	35
11	38	35
12	37	35
13	39	35
14	30	35
15	29	35
16	38	35
17	40	35
18	29	35
19	22	35
20	48	35
21	42	35
22	36	35
23	31	35
24	32	35
25	35	35
26	31	35
27	33	35
28	44	35
29	30	35
30	31	35
31	29	35
32	41	35
33	38	35
34	31	35
35	35	35
36	44	35
37	30	35
38	41	35
39	36	35
40	25	35
41	34	35
42	38	35
43	40	35
44	29	35
45	30	35
46	35	35
47	45	35
48	23	35
49	39	35
50	33	35
51	29	35
52	29	35
53	36	35
54	36	35
55	31	35
56	34	35
57	37	35
58	45	35
59	34	35
60	35	35
61	45	35
62	29	35
63	42	35
64	36	35
65	36	35
66	39	35
67	29	35
68	34	35
69	43	35
70	33	35

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.

199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 4173058640

The maths, in plain language

The story behind it