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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
LotteryOracle · F-43
Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?
Main drum: 5 of 75. Bonus balls are excluded.
Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 42 | 35 |
| 2 | 29 | 35 |
| 3 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | 31 | 35 |
| 5 | 36 | 35 |
| 6 | 37 | 35 |
| 7 | 30 | 35 |
| 8 | 42 | 35 |
| 9 | 40 | 35 |
| 10 | 34 | 35 |
| 11 | 29 | 35 |
| 12 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | 48 | 35 |
| 14 | 37 | 35 |
| 15 | 36 | 35 |
| 16 | 40 | 35 |
| 17 | 35 | 35 |
| 18 | 33 | 35 |
| 19 | 39 | 35 |
| 20 | 36 | 35 |
| 21 | 33 | 35 |
| 22 | 36 | 35 |
| 23 | 26 | 35 |
| 24 | 32 | 35 |
| 25 | 24 | 35 |
| 26 | 40 | 35 |
| 27 | 40 | 35 |
| 28 | 39 | 35 |
| 29 | 44 | 35 |
| 30 | 32 | 35 |
| 31 | 34 | 35 |
| 32 | 38 | 35 |
| 33 | 38 | 35 |
| 34 | 35 | 35 |
| 35 | 37 | 35 |
| 36 | 34 | 35 |
| 37 | 44 | 35 |
| 38 | 40 | 35 |
| 39 | 30 | 35 |
| 40 | 34 | 35 |
| 41 | 34 | 35 |
| 42 | 46 | 35 |
| 43 | 26 | 35 |
| 44 | 38 | 35 |
| 45 | 31 | 35 |
| 46 | 36 | 35 |
| 47 | 24 | 35 |
| 48 | 22 | 35 |
| 49 | 38 | 35 |
| 50 | 42 | 35 |
| 51 | 41 | 35 |
| 52 | 29 | 35 |
| 53 | 38 | 35 |
| 54 | 43 | 35 |
| 55 | 41 | 35 |
| 56 | 38 | 35 |
| 57 | 33 | 35 |
| 58 | 24 | 35 |
| 59 | 39 | 35 |
| 60 | 31 | 35 |
| 61 | 43 | 35 |
| 62 | 32 | 35 |
| 63 | 21 | 35 |
| 64 | 29 | 35 |
| 65 | 34 | 35 |
| 66 | 34 | 35 |
| 67 | 30 | 35 |
| 68 | 38 | 35 |
| 69 | 35 | 35 |
| 70 | 37 | 35 |
| 71 | 26 | 35 |
| 72 | 31 | 35 |
| 73 | 32 | 35 |
| 74 | 34 | 35 |
| 75 | 39 | 35 |
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 35 |
| 2 | 32 | 35 |
| 3 | 36 | 35 |
| 4 | 29 | 35 |
| 5 | 33 | 35 |
| 6 | 26 | 35 |
| 7 | 38 | 35 |
| 8 | 27 | 35 |
| 9 | 31 | 35 |
| 10 | 41 | 35 |
| 11 | 39 | 35 |
| 12 | 36 | 35 |
| 13 | 33 | 35 |
| 14 | 38 | 35 |
| 15 | 33 | 35 |
| 16 | 41 | 35 |
| 17 | 36 | 35 |
| 18 | 34 | 35 |
| 19 | 34 | 35 |
| 20 | 33 | 35 |
| 21 | 31 | 35 |
| 22 | 29 | 35 |
| 23 | 39 | 35 |
| 24 | 34 | 35 |
| 25 | 37 | 35 |
| 26 | 27 | 35 |
| 27 | 37 | 35 |
| 28 | 34 | 35 |
| 29 | 31 | 35 |
| 30 | 42 | 35 |
| 31 | 32 | 35 |
| 32 | 37 | 35 |
| 33 | 36 | 35 |
| 34 | 27 | 35 |
| 35 | 31 | 35 |
| 36 | 39 | 35 |
| 37 | 36 | 35 |
| 38 | 37 | 35 |
| 39 | 38 | 35 |
| 40 | 38 | 35 |
| 41 | 41 | 35 |
| 42 | 35 | 35 |
| 43 | 33 | 35 |
| 44 | 40 | 35 |
| 45 | 24 | 35 |
| 46 | 38 | 35 |
| 47 | 34 | 35 |
| 48 | 29 | 35 |
| 49 | 41 | 35 |
| 50 | 29 | 35 |
| 51 | 36 | 35 |
| 52 | 53 | 35 |
| 53 | 39 | 35 |
| 54 | 32 | 35 |
| 55 | 39 | 35 |
| 56 | 27 | 35 |
| 57 | 44 | 35 |
| 58 | 41 | 35 |
| 59 | 30 | 35 |
| 60 | 42 | 35 |
| 61 | 40 | 35 |
| 62 | 39 | 35 |
| 63 | 34 | 35 |
| 64 | 36 | 35 |
| 65 | 40 | 35 |
| 66 | 30 | 35 |
| 67 | 36 | 35 |
| 68 | 30 | 35 |
| 69 | 31 | 35 |
| 70 | 41 | 35 |
| 71 | 37 | 35 |
| 72 | 41 | 35 |
| 73 | 37 | 35 |
| 74 | 31 | 35 |
| 75 | 25 | 35 |
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 35 |
| 2 | 12 | 35 |
| 3 | 9 | 35 |
| 4 | 137 | 35 |
| 5 | 7 | 35 |
| 6 | 131 | 35 |
| 7 | 8 | 35 |
| 8 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | 8 | 35 |
| 10 | 10 | 35 |
| 11 | 12 | 35 |
| 12 | 8 | 35 |
| 13 | 4 | 35 |
| 14 | 136 | 35 |
| 15 | 7 | 35 |
| 16 | 148 | 35 |
| 17 | 8 | 35 |
| 18 | 7 | 35 |
| 19 | 15 | 35 |
| 20 | 9 | 35 |
| 21 | 11 | 35 |
| 22 | 10 | 35 |
| 23 | 9 | 35 |
| 24 | 149 | 35 |
| 25 | 8 | 35 |
| 26 | 136 | 35 |
| 27 | 7 | 35 |
| 28 | 4 | 35 |
| 29 | 5 | 35 |
| 30 | 7 | 35 |
| 31 | 5 | 35 |
| 32 | 11 | 35 |
| 33 | 10 | 35 |
| 34 | 135 | 35 |
| 35 | 13 | 35 |
| 36 | 116 | 35 |
| 37 | 10 | 35 |
| 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 39 | 12 | 35 |
| 40 | 14 | 35 |
| 41 | 6 | 35 |
| 42 | 11 | 35 |
| 43 | 10 | 35 |
| 44 | 153 | 35 |
| 45 | 14 | 35 |
| 46 | 151 | 35 |
| 47 | 15 | 35 |
| 48 | 11 | 35 |
| 49 | 9 | 35 |
| 50 | 8 | 35 |
| 51 | 16 | 35 |
| 52 | 10 | 35 |
| 53 | 5 | 35 |
| 54 | 130 | 35 |
| 55 | 6 | 35 |
| 56 | 130 | 35 |
| 57 | 9 | 35 |
| 58 | 6 | 35 |
| 59 | 12 | 35 |
| 60 | 9 | 35 |
| 61 | 8 | 35 |
| 62 | 11 | 35 |
| 63 | 13 | 35 |
| 64 | 127 | 35 |
| 65 | 9 | 35 |
| 66 | 135 | 35 |
| 67 | 12 | 35 |
| 68 | 9 | 35 |
| 69 | 14 | 35 |
| 70 | 7 | 35 |
| 71 | 8 | 35 |
| 72 | 6 | 35 |
| 73 | 10 | 35 |
| 74 | 147 | 35 |
| 75 | 9 | 35 |
Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.
199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 1969799415
One fixed frequency statistic is tested per machine. Independent fair histories use the same sample size and draw format. Add-one Monte Carlo p-values are corrected across all three machines with Bonferroni. The sample is fixed before testing; a non-alert is not a certificate of fairness.
E = Dk/N; Q = Σ(O − E)²/E; p = (1 + #{Qnull ≥ Q})/(R + 1); padj = min(1, 3p)
Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?
Knowing the generator and detecting it from a short record are different things. A quiet test cannot certify fairness.