Mega Millions: Chance Detective — which machine would you investigate? — LotteryOracle

LotteryOracle · F-43

Chance Detective

Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?

Main drum: 5 of 56. Bonus balls are excluded.

2026-10-15 · UTC400 DrawsSimulated evidence

Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.

Machine A

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	38	35.7
2	40	35.7
3	28	35.7
4	41	35.7
5	38	35.7
6	41	35.7
7	33	35.7
8	31	35.7
9	39	35.7
10	41	35.7
11	35	35.7
12	34	35.7
13	32	35.7
14	22	35.7
15	34	35.7
16	34	35.7
17	39	35.7
18	46	35.7
19	32	35.7
20	34	35.7
21	36	35.7
22	38	35.7
23	33	35.7
24	27	35.7
25	41	35.7
26	32	35.7
27	31	35.7
28	39	35.7
29	28	35.7
30	41	35.7
31	34	35.7
32	33	35.7
33	43	35.7
34	25	35.7
35	37	35.7
36	33	35.7
37	34	35.7
38	35	35.7
39	34	35.7
40	36	35.7
41	31	35.7
42	30	35.7
43	39	35.7
44	42	35.7
45	41	35.7
46	31	35.7
47	45	35.7
48	35	35.7
49	39	35.7
50	40	35.7
51	31	35.7
52	42	35.7
53	45	35.7
54	48	35.7
55	34	35.7
56	25	35.7

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine B

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	34	35.7
2	49	35.7
3	30	35.7
4	32	35.7
5	38	35.7
6	36	35.7
7	32	35.7
8	40	35.7
9	37	35.7
10	38	35.7
11	43	35.7
12	37	35.7
13	41	35.7
14	35	35.7
15	31	35.7
16	27	35.7
17	48	35.7
18	46	35.7
19	31	35.7
20	34	35.7
21	37	35.7
22	29	35.7
23	37	35.7
24	32	35.7
25	38	35.7
26	38	35.7
27	39	35.7
28	39	35.7
29	43	35.7
30	31	35.7
31	34	35.7
32	44	35.7
33	35	35.7
34	31	35.7
35	23	35.7
36	27	35.7
37	43	35.7
38	44	35.7
39	40	35.7
40	41	35.7
41	37	35.7
42	40	35.7
43	24	35.7
44	30	35.7
45	28	35.7
46	40	35.7
47	31	35.7
48	22	35.7
49	33	35.7
50	35	35.7
51	34	35.7
52	37	35.7
53	36	35.7
54	33	35.7
55	41	35.7
56	35	35.7

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Machine C

Read the data table

Number	Observed	Expected
1	10	35.7
2	2	35.7
3	9	35.7
4	148	35.7
5	7	35.7
6	130	35.7
7	8	35.7
8	11	35.7
9	11	35.7
10	10	35.7
11	7	35.7
12	7	35.7
13	10	35.7
14	119	35.7
15	10	35.7
16	143	35.7
17	13	35.7
18	11	35.7
19	8	35.7
20	10	35.7
21	5	35.7
22	11	35.7
23	7	35.7
24	122	35.7
25	8	35.7
26	125	35.7
27	8	35.7
28	9	35.7
29	12	35.7
30	4	35.7
31	9	35.7
32	9	35.7
33	9	35.7
34	155	35.7
35	12	35.7
36	137	35.7
37	10	35.7
38	11	35.7
39	7	35.7
40	9	35.7
41	12	35.7
42	14	35.7
43	9	35.7
44	124	35.7
45	7	35.7
46	127	35.7
47	5	35.7
48	10	35.7
49	6	35.7
50	10	35.7
51	9	35.7
52	8	35.7
53	9	35.7
54	144	35.7
55	7	35.7
56	136	35.7

Your judgmentInvestigateInsufficient evidence

Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.

199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 178333564

The maths, in plain language

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