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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
LotteryOracle · F-43
Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?
Main drum: 5 of 55. Bonus balls are excluded.
Every machine here is simulated. No real lottery is being accused or predicted.
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 2 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 3 | 30 | 36.4 |
| 4 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 5 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 6 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 7 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 8 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 9 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 10 | 30 | 36.4 |
| 11 | 43 | 36.4 |
| 12 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 13 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 14 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 15 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 16 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 17 | 33 | 36.4 |
| 18 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 19 | 27 | 36.4 |
| 20 | 46 | 36.4 |
| 21 | 42 | 36.4 |
| 22 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 23 | 43 | 36.4 |
| 24 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 25 | 33 | 36.4 |
| 26 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 27 | 44 | 36.4 |
| 28 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 29 | 32 | 36.4 |
| 30 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 31 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 32 | 32 | 36.4 |
| 33 | 36 | 36.4 |
| 34 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 35 | 28 | 36.4 |
| 36 | 53 | 36.4 |
| 37 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 38 | 23 | 36.4 |
| 39 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 40 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 41 | 43 | 36.4 |
| 42 | 36 | 36.4 |
| 43 | 45 | 36.4 |
| 44 | 42 | 36.4 |
| 45 | 36 | 36.4 |
| 46 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 47 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 48 | 28 | 36.4 |
| 49 | 44 | 36.4 |
| 50 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 51 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 52 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 53 | 28 | 36.4 |
| 54 | 24 | 36.4 |
| 55 | 29 | 36.4 |
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 36.4 |
| 2 | 11 | 36.4 |
| 3 | 9 | 36.4 |
| 4 | 146 | 36.4 |
| 5 | 5 | 36.4 |
| 6 | 127 | 36.4 |
| 7 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 8 | 9 | 36.4 |
| 9 | 10 | 36.4 |
| 10 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 11 | 6 | 36.4 |
| 12 | 11 | 36.4 |
| 13 | 14 | 36.4 |
| 14 | 149 | 36.4 |
| 15 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 16 | 149 | 36.4 |
| 17 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 18 | 11 | 36.4 |
| 19 | 6 | 36.4 |
| 20 | 7 | 36.4 |
| 21 | 6 | 36.4 |
| 22 | 7 | 36.4 |
| 23 | 7 | 36.4 |
| 24 | 132 | 36.4 |
| 25 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 26 | 166 | 36.4 |
| 27 | 11 | 36.4 |
| 28 | 15 | 36.4 |
| 29 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 30 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 31 | 7 | 36.4 |
| 32 | 14 | 36.4 |
| 33 | 8 | 36.4 |
| 34 | 145 | 36.4 |
| 35 | 5 | 36.4 |
| 36 | 158 | 36.4 |
| 37 | 11 | 36.4 |
| 38 | 13 | 36.4 |
| 39 | 11 | 36.4 |
| 40 | 9 | 36.4 |
| 41 | 8 | 36.4 |
| 42 | 12 | 36.4 |
| 43 | 9 | 36.4 |
| 44 | 128 | 36.4 |
| 45 | 6 | 36.4 |
| 46 | 138 | 36.4 |
| 47 | 9 | 36.4 |
| 48 | 6 | 36.4 |
| 49 | 7 | 36.4 |
| 50 | 12 | 36.4 |
| 51 | 10 | 36.4 |
| 52 | 10 | 36.4 |
| 53 | 8 | 36.4 |
| 54 | 127 | 36.4 |
| 55 | 12 | 36.4 |
| Number | Observed | Expected |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 2 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 3 | 23 | 36.4 |
| 4 | 36 | 36.4 |
| 5 | 36 | 36.4 |
| 6 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 7 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 8 | 43 | 36.4 |
| 9 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 10 | 49 | 36.4 |
| 11 | 25 | 36.4 |
| 12 | 30 | 36.4 |
| 13 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 14 | 47 | 36.4 |
| 15 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 16 | 46 | 36.4 |
| 17 | 44 | 36.4 |
| 18 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 19 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 20 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 21 | 36 | 36.4 |
| 22 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 23 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 24 | 23 | 36.4 |
| 25 | 33 | 36.4 |
| 26 | 35 | 36.4 |
| 27 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 28 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 29 | 30 | 36.4 |
| 30 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 31 | 42 | 36.4 |
| 32 | 43 | 36.4 |
| 33 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 34 | 42 | 36.4 |
| 35 | 28 | 36.4 |
| 36 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 37 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 38 | 28 | 36.4 |
| 39 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 40 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 41 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 42 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 43 | 33 | 36.4 |
| 44 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 45 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 46 | 31 | 36.4 |
| 47 | 41 | 36.4 |
| 48 | 44 | 36.4 |
| 49 | 29 | 36.4 |
| 50 | 34 | 36.4 |
| 51 | 37 | 36.4 |
| 52 | 40 | 36.4 |
| 53 | 39 | 36.4 |
| 54 | 38 | 36.4 |
| 55 | 35 | 36.4 |
Make a judgment for all three machines before the reveal.
199 independent fair histories; 3 comparisons. · chance-detective-v1 · seed 3542939733
One fixed frequency statistic is tested per machine. Independent fair histories use the same sample size and draw format. Add-one Monte Carlo p-values are corrected across all three machines with Bonferroni. The sample is fixed before testing; a non-alert is not a certificate of fairness.
E = Dk/N; Q = Σ(O − E)²/E; p = (1 + #{Qnull ≥ Q})/(R + 1); padj = min(1, 3p)
Three simulated machines. Which would you investigate?
Knowing the generator and detecting it from a short record are different things. A quiet test cannot certify fairness.