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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 40,844,397
The crowdHeld 38% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 746 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2025 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 37 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 17% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 745 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 19, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 July 2024 — its closest relative in 745 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 August 2025): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 98 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 18,901 winners, 38% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 40,844,397 |
| 5 | 8 | ZAR 20,107 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 24 | ZAR 4,197 |
| 4 | 481 | ZAR 355 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 937 | ZAR 206 |
| 3 | 18,901 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 12,077 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 57,662 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 89,037 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 179,127 | — |