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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 38,758,133
The crowdHeld 19% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 652 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 651 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 18, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 January 2022 — its closest relative in 651 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 September 2024): 28 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 18th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →30 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 14,228 winners, 19% more than the 12k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 38,758,133 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 138,783 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 21 | ZAR 4,138 |
| 4 | 328 | ZAR 449 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 702 | ZAR 237 |
| 3 | 14,228 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 10,068 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 49,850 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 77,981 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 153,179 | — |