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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 13,815,945
The crowdHeld 2% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 652 of 1,712 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 September 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 651 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 31, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 24 February 2023 — its closest relative in 651 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 September 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 19 repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 66th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 675 winners, 6% fewer than the 721 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 88,927 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 53,092 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 9,943 | ZAR 23.30 |
| Match 3 | 13,354 | ZAR 23.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 675 | ZAR 549 |
| Match 4 | 337 | ZAR 973 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 20 | ZAR 9,666 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 308,704 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 13,815,945 |