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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw · plus

Friday, 16 August 2024

plusPowerBall

Single source
  1. 4
  2. 29
  3. 33
  4. 34
  5. 38
  6. 13

JackpotZAR 8,434,306

The crowdHeld 13% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 641 of 1,719 under them

← 2024-08-13All recent draws2024-08-20 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 9
    2. 14
    3. 15
    4. 22
    5. 36
    6. 1

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed4 29 33 34 38 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 51% of every possible ticket.

  • sum63th
  • odd34th
  • low10th
  • widest gap89th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread46th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

459times
2971times
3364times
3466times
3856times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

1330times

Every number was expected about that many times after 640 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (33, 34, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 7 July 2023 — its closest relative in 640 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 August 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 33–34. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

4 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-16

  • Lines in play≈ 3.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 2Mto 420k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5 + PowerBall0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • 3 + PowerBall10%ZAR 198.7K
  • 1 + PowerBall25%ZAR 485.8K
  • 0 + PowerBall28%ZAR 555K
  • 5 other tiers37%ZAR 730.4K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5 + PowerBall0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 8,434,306
  2. 52≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 83,063
  3. 4 + PowerBall18≈ 20 by chanceZAR 5,779
  4. 4302≈ 388 by chanceZAR 584
  5. 3 + PowerBall899≈ 899 by chanceZAR 221
  6. 2 + PowerBall13,302≈ 13k by chanceZAR 9.00
  7. 314,926≈ 17k by chanceZAR 11.00
  8. 1 + PowerBall69,404≈ 68k by chanceZAR 7.00
  9. 0 + PowerBall110,994≈ 111k by chanceZAR 5.00
  10. -209,847—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 14,926 winners, 13% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
5 + PowerBall0ZAR 8,434,306
52ZAR 83,063
4 + PowerBall18ZAR 5,779
4302ZAR 584
3 + PowerBall899ZAR 221
314,926ZAR 11.00
2 + PowerBall13,302ZAR 9.00
1 + PowerBall69,404ZAR 7.00
0 + PowerBall110,994ZAR 5.00
-209,847—