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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw · plus

Tuesday, 13 August 2024

plusPowerBall

Single source
  1. 9
  2. 20
  3. 25
  4. 45
  5. 46
  6. 9

JackpotZAR 6,170,302

The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 640 of 1,719 under them

← 2024-08-09All recent draws2024-08-16 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 6
    2. 34
    3. 35
    4. 42
    5. 46
    6. 11

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed9 20 25 45 46 + 929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 13 August 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

62oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd66th
  • low66th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours80th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each

959times
2074times
2572times
4575times
4672times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

932times

Every number was expected about that many times after 639 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 20, 25) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 21 June 2024 — its closest relative in 639 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (9 August 2024): 45 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

145

The numbers add up to 145 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

9 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-08-13

  • Lines in play≈ 3.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 1.6Mto 336k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5 + PowerBall0 winnerschance said 0.07

Where the money went

  • 3 + PowerBall11%ZAR 172K
  • 1 + PowerBall23%ZAR 381.1K
  • 0 + PowerBall28%ZAR 452K
  • 5 other tiers38%ZAR 621.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5 + PowerBall0≈ 0.07 by chanceZAR 6,170,302
  2. 51≈ 1.4 by chanceZAR 143,462
  3. 4 + PowerBall17≈ 17 by chanceZAR 5,284
  4. 4254≈ 316 by chanceZAR 599
  5. 3 + PowerBall649≈ 733 by chanceZAR 265
  6. 2 + PowerBall10,158≈ 10k by chanceZAR 10.00
  7. 312,260≈ 14k by chanceZAR 11.00
  8. 1 + PowerBall54,440≈ 55k by chanceZAR 7.00
  9. 0 + PowerBall90,399≈ 90k by chanceZAR 5.00
  10. -168,178—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 12,260 winners, 12% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
5 + PowerBall0ZAR 6,170,302
51ZAR 143,462
4 + PowerBall17ZAR 5,284
4254ZAR 599
3 + PowerBall649ZAR 265
312,260ZAR 11.00
2 + PowerBall10,158ZAR 10.00
1 + PowerBall54,440ZAR 7.00
0 + PowerBall90,399ZAR 5.00
-168,178—