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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw · plus

Tuesday, 31 October 2023

plusPowerBall

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 15
  4. 19
  5. 46
  6. 20

JackpotZAR 6,351,791

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 558 of 1,719 under them

← 2023-10-27All recent draws2023-11-03 →

Also drawn that day

  • main
    1. 10
    2. 15
    3. 19
    4. 36
    5. 48
    6. 4

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 15 19 46 + 2029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 31 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.

  • sum10th
  • odd66th
  • low90th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours32th
  • spread91th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 56 of each

162times
657times
1554times
1963times
4655times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

2029times

Every number was expected about that many times after 557 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 15, 19) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 19 September 2023 — its closest relative in 557 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

46 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-31

  • Lines in play≈ 3.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 1.8Mto 362k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • 5 + PowerBall0 winnerschance said 0.08

Where the money went

  • 3 + PowerBall11%ZAR 188.6K
  • 1 + PowerBall24%ZAR 416K
  • 0 + PowerBall27%ZAR 469.9K
  • 5 other tiers39%ZAR 688.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 5 + PowerBall0≈ 0.08 by chanceZAR 6,351,791
  2. 53≈ 1.5 by chanceZAR 52,462
  3. 4 + PowerBall21≈ 17 by chanceZAR 4,693
  4. 4322≈ 329 by chanceZAR 518
  5. 3 + PowerBall842≈ 761 by chanceZAR 224
  6. 2 + PowerBall11,834≈ 11k by chanceZAR 10.00
  7. 314,724≈ 14k by chanceZAR 10.00
  8. 1 + PowerBall59,434≈ 57k by chanceZAR 7.00
  9. 0 + PowerBall93,970≈ 94k by chanceZAR 5.00
  10. -181,150—
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 842 winners, 11% more than the 761 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
5 + PowerBall0ZAR 6,351,791
53ZAR 52,462
4 + PowerBall21ZAR 4,693
4322ZAR 518
3 + PowerBall842ZAR 224
314,724ZAR 10.00
2 + PowerBall11,834ZAR 10.00
1 + PowerBall59,434ZAR 7.00
0 + PowerBall93,970ZAR 5.00
-181,150—