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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 52,487,694
The crowdHeld 5% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 552 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 73% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 551 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 19, 49) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 April 2019 — its closest relative in 551 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 17 repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 143 — the 68th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →49 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 496 winners, 13% fewer than the 569 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 52,487,694 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 141,873 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 26 | ZAR 6,834 |
| 4 | 496 | ZAR 607 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,237 | ZAR 275 |
| 3 | 23,741 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 18,452 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 97,064 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 162,706 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 303,724 | — |