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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 44,607,058
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 550 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 84% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 549 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 45, 48) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 July 2020 — its closest relative in 549 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2023): 12 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 155 — the 80th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 507 winners, 9% fewer than the 555 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 44,607,058 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 89,985 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 25 | ZAR 6,761 |
| 4 | 507 | ZAR 565 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,215 | ZAR 266 |
| 3 | 24,681 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 17,847 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 96,543 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 158,568 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 299,389 | — |