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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 12,765,578
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 488 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 487 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 13, 27) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 April 2020 — its closest relative in 487 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (24 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 105 — the 23th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 36 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 1,185 winners, 27% more than the 932 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 12,765,578 |
| 5 | 3 | ZAR 60,002 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 27 | ZAR 4,174 |
| 4 | 487 | ZAR 392 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,185 | ZAR 182 |
| 3 | 19,910 | ZAR 9.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 15,265 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 74,157 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 115,077 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 226,111 | — |