Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 44,270,405
The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 448 of 1,719 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 447 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 16, 46) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 23 March 2021 — its closest relative in 447 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 128 — the 50th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 15–16, 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 674 winners, 18% fewer than the 822 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 44,270,405 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 81,788 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 16 | ZAR 6,402 |
| 4 | 297 | ZAR 584 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 674 | ZAR 291 |
| 3 | 13,730 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 11,228 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 60,183 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 101,398 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 187,528 | — |