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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 24,183,215
The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 404 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 403 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 27, 45) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 November 2020 — its closest relative in 403 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 May 2022): 11 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 22,732 winners, 4% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 24,183,215 |
| 5 | 4 | ZAR 62,780 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 26 | ZAR 6,048 |
| 4 | 492 | ZAR 541 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,139 | ZAR 264 |
| 3 | 22,732 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 16,095 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 86,327 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 142,069 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 268,884 | — |