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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 20,760,889
The crowdHeld 37% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 403 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 May 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 35 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 402 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 11, 35) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 June 2021 — its closest relative in 402 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 85% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 May 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 62 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 30 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 30,118 winners, 37% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 20,760,889 |
| 5 | 5 | ZAR 50,570 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 48 | ZAR 3,298 |
| 4 | 851 | ZAR 315 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 1,460 | ZAR 207 |
| 3 | 30,118 | ZAR 8.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 18,476 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 89,531 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 142,761 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 283,250 | — |