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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 14,648,922
The crowdHeld 12% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 1/20 · since Jun 2018draw 262 of 1,718 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 261 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (27, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 December 2020 — its closest relative in 261 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 December 2020): 27, 43 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 168 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 827 winners, 16% fewer than the 986 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 1 | ZAR 14,648,922 |
| 5 | 1 | ZAR 200,960 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 21 | ZAR 5,992 |
| 4 | 322 | ZAR 662 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 827 | ZAR 291 |
| 3 | 16,454 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 12,578 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 68,328 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 121,741 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 220,273 | — |