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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 25,474,868
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 186 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 185 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 September 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 185 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 30, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 June 2017 — its closest relative in 185 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 September 2017): 21 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 146 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →42 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 15,864 winners, 16% fewer than the 19k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 25,474,868 |
| 5 | 5 | ZAR 50,740 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 14 | ZAR 9,163 |
| 4 | 403 | ZAR 604 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 841 | ZAR 277 |
| 3 | 15,864 | ZAR 12.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 11,456 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 55,957 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 83,927 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |