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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 8,119,094
The crowdHeld 3% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 177 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 176 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 August 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 52 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 20 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 176 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (15, 24, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 4 March 2016 — its closest relative in 176 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 69% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 August 2017): 43 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 141 — the 82th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + PowerBall — 691 winners, 3% fewer than the 716 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 8,119,094 |
| 5 | 2 | ZAR 98,268 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 14 | ZAR 7,098 |
| 4 | 307 | ZAR 614 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 691 | ZAR 261 |
| 3 | 13,985 | ZAR 10.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 8,770 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 42,032 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 60,399 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |