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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw · plus
plusPowerBall
JackpotZAR 9,848,957
The crowdHeld 7% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 64 of 1,161 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 63 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 56% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 63 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 21, 41) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 December 2015 — its closest relative in 63 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 34% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (12 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 910 winners, 15% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 5 + PowerBall | 0 | ZAR 9,848,957 |
| 5 | 7 | ZAR 79,520 |
| 4 + PowerBall | 41 | ZAR 6,865 |
| 4 | 910 | ZAR 587 |
| 3 + PowerBall | 2,011 | ZAR 254 |
| 3 | 38,828 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 2 + PowerBall | 24,817 | ZAR 11.00 |
| 1 + PowerBall | 122,976 | ZAR 7.00 |
| 0 + PowerBall | 186,239 | ZAR 5.00 |
| - | 0 | — |