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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 15 July 2016

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 14
  3. 31
  4. 34
  5. 37
  6. 12

JackpotZAR 71,010,601

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 694 of 1,161 under them

← 2016-07-12All recent draws2016-07-19 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 5
    2. 21
    3. 31
    4. 33
    5. 41
    6. 10

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed2 14 31 34 3729 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community2 14 31 34 37 + 1228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 693 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 94% of every possible ticket.

  • sum54th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread67th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

270times
1472times
3188times
3479times
3784times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each

1235times

Every number was expected about that many times after 693 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 34, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 14 January 2014 — its closest relative in 693 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (12 July 2016): 31 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

118

The numbers add up to 118 — the 53th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

2 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2016-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 8.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 11.3Mto 477k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 18lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.36

Where the money went

  • Match 512%ZAR 1.4M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 2.4M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 2.4M
  • 5 other tiers46%ZAR 5.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.36 by chanceZAR 71,010,601
  2. Match 52≈ 6.9 by chanceZAR 694,731
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball66≈ 72 by chanceZAR 10,645
  4. Match 41,082≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 1,233
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,499≈ 2.8k by chanceZAR 511
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball33,041≈ 36k by chanceZAR 21.90
  7. Match 344,789≈ 53k by chanceZAR 24.20
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball157,972≈ 165k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball237,266≈ 237k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈8.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,082 winners, 21% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball237,266ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball157,972ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball33,041ZAR 21.90
Match 344,789ZAR 24.20
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,499ZAR 511
Match 41,082ZAR 1,233
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball66ZAR 10,645
Match 52ZAR 694,731
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 71,010,601