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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 2,584,881
The crowdHeld 32% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 677 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 676 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 May 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 75 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 676 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 15, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2016 — its closest relative in 676 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 May 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 94 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 18,292 winners, 32% more than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 61,710 | ZAR 10.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 43,725 | ZAR 15.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 9,656 | ZAR 24.90 |
| Match 3 | 18,292 | ZAR 19.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 778 | ZAR 547 |
| Match 4 | 511 | ZAR 868 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 21 | ZAR 11,130 |
| Match 5 | 4 | ZAR 115,562 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 2,584,881 |