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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 1 January 2016

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 13
  2. 17
  3. 24
  4. 34
  5. 40
  6. 18

JackpotZAR 16,762,455

The crowdHeld 14% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 638 of 1,161 under them

← 2015-12-29All recent draws2016-01-05 →

Also drawn that day

  • plus
    1. 3
    2. 9
    3. 26
    4. 29
    5. 41
    6. 16

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 17 24 34 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community13 17 24 34 40 + 1828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
  • Resolved on jackpot amount — raised 28 Aug 2026, 21:02 UTC, resolved 29 Aug 2026, 07:46 UTC.
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 637 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

58oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 67% of every possible ticket.

  • sum68th
  • odd32th
  • low32th
  • widest gap16th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread31th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

1369times
1770times
2468times
3475times
4073times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each

1837times

Every number was expected about that many times after 637 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 24, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 April 2014 — its closest relative in 637 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

128

The numbers add up to 128 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2016-01-01

  • Lines in play≈ 2.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.1Mto 125k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 17lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.09

Where the money went

  • Match 513%ZAR 412.8K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball20%ZAR 618.4K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball19%ZAR 586.4K
  • 5 other tiers48%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.09 by chanceZAR 16,762,455
  2. Match 53≈ 1.7 by chanceZAR 137,609
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 18 by chanceZAR 17,396
  4. Match 4385≈ 339 by chanceZAR 1,029
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball733≈ 695 by chanceZAR 518
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,851≈ 8.8k by chanceZAR 24.30
  7. Match 315,119≈ 13k by chanceZAR 21.40
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,229≈ 41k by chanceZAR 15.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58,640≈ 59k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈2.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 15,119 winners, 14% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball58,640ZAR 10.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball41,229ZAR 15.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,851ZAR 24.30
Match 315,119ZAR 21.40
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball733ZAR 518
Match 4385ZAR 1,029
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12ZAR 17,396
Match 53ZAR 137,609
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 16,762,455