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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 8,000,000
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 589 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 588 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 July 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 588 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 34) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 December 2014 — its closest relative in 588 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 98% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 July 2015): 11 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 88 — the 17th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 24,768 winners, 13% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | — |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 67,786 | ZAR 10.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 15,696 | ZAR 17.00 |
| Match 3 | 24,768 | ZAR 16.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,295 | ZAR 325 |
| Match 4 | 627 | ZAR 327 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 26 | ZAR 20,739 |
| Match 5 | 3 | ZAR 255,975 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 8,000,000 |